On August 11, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day extension of a mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between August 12, and November 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend the 90 day tariff reduction announced on August 12, will qualify. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
US-China tariff deal imminent by November.
does the 10% decrease counts as a publicly announced mutual agreement?
[link removed]
US-China tariff truce extended past Nov 10-fentanyl, soybeans key.
There is no public record indicating that former President Trump has ever announced a tariff extension while physically outside the United States. Nearly all of Trump's major tariff extension announcements. including those for China, the EU, Canada, Mexico, and other global partner. were made at official locations in the United States, such as press conferences at the White House or via social media statements issued from Washington, D.C.. Trump's practice has been to make key trade announcements domestically, frequently using the executive office context and US-based media coverage for maximum political effect.
dump your positions now
omg dumpiiiiiit
Does this guy even know what he’s typing?
Get ready
GG
The U.S. will remove the additional 10% “fentanyl tariffs” on Chinese goods. The 24% reciprocal tariffs will remain suspended for another year. China will adjust its countermeasures accordingly, and both sides will extend certain tariff exemptions. Source: Ministry of Commerce of China
nothing. trump go to home
Lets see how this will end at U M A
There will be an agreement, but Xi will never execute it
WSJ: Trump expects to sign a trade agreement with China at the meeting with Xi
Xi Xi
Crazy how this went from low 70s to 90s in just a couple of days with 2 more weeks left
Mr Xi is too cute to not be friendly.
Trump: I will meet with Xi Jinping in two weeks
Just because they meet doesnt mean theyre going to come to an agreement wtf haha
Xi will never meet Trump if there’s no agreement
Could a homie send me a dollar please? Thanks
In this context does an agreement need both parties to extend the 90 day dealine or does it simply qualify when such an extension is publicized by the Trump admin?
Only 1 country needs to announce they both agreed
Because of today’s events, all my friends have committed suicide over liquidation of long positions, so I'm looking to meet new people.
Are you kidding me? -------- “Agreements to extend the 90 day tariff reduction announced on August 12, will qualify.”
what's your problem?
That is the price is so high. otherwise, the price will be close to zero