This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probably, new generation is a highly sophisticated organization with lot of new tech, allied with china and I think Trump will go hard and punish them for trading rare earth metals with them. They'll put pressure until the new leadership agrees to export this to US
Hi