This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Calm down gym babe, Iranians escorting out nobody else there yet😭
If a ship is escorted through, that is it. Pay out already. Has not ONE single ship gone through? If it has, it was escorted. Does not even need to be a physical ship doing the escorting. You got the odds wrong. It happens. That is why you need some insight to go with all those insider tips that replace actual understanding of politics and society.. and comes with getting your news from 'fake' i.e. legitimate and factual truth-telling sources and services. Suck it up buttercup and stop cheating Polymarket. Thanks...
broke ass mf go cry to your mum
lol
Fox reported they escorted that cruise ship? Anyone see jesse watters say that
It has to be through the Strait, not after leaving it
[link removed]
hey just checking in how are you copers going lmao
There is nothing insurers love to hear more than that you're planning to get shot at by a nation's military but don't worry my homies will intercept it probably
Maybe a compulsive gambler, but a wise one
Trump said he is planning to build a wall of US naval ships along the Iranian coast to form a “blockade” and protect freedom of transit.
The ceasefire will probably hold and the Blockade implemented yesterday. But it will be a blockade for specific countries. Tankers that hold oil for allied company's will be let through and its obvious that US ships would escort them. They will go through because of the ceasefire and US protection guarantee.
I meant Blockade implemented tomorrow not yesterday.
Mentally noted your name to never consider your opinion.
According to modern international law, blockades are an act of war. In that sense, a blockade can be legal only if applied in self-defense, and not as part of a war of aggression. Blockades are illegal when used as to starve or to collectively punish a civilian population.
What has legality got to do with it? If a ship is escorted, that is it. Pay out already. Has not ONE single ship gone through? If it has, it was escorted. Does not even need to be a physical ship. Stop cheating Polymarket.
So let me get this straight. Negotiations fail, the ceasefire is likely not going to be extended, so a state of war will exist between Iran and the United States in a week's time. But now the US is going to successfully convince a defenceless tanker to sail through a Strait which the Iranians have zeroed in...? This doesn't make sense.
They believe they could eliminate Iranians in one week
in one day - TACO
This is the best next logical step right now
you have rocks in your head. Must be american
Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 6x upside opportunity.
tell me you provided liquidity, and I might poke my head in. show me a horse's crotch, and I'm prob never coming. -pun unavoidable-
Fuckin legend
If the US government announces that it will begin escorting ships a month later, would that count as "yes"?
No, because the market will be already resolved.
U.S. Forces Start Mine Clearance Mission in Strait of Hormuz
for now they are preparing the offence - blockade, possibly mining
US warships cross the strait for the first time. According to Axios it is possible they will start escorting vessels in an agreement with Iran [link removed]
Thats s long way off buddy
Lol, I checked your X. You actually have the audacity to share your opinions.
I do
Currently escorting multiple ships across BREAKING
Source?
TWO CHINESE OIL TANKERS HAVE PASSED THROUGH STRAIT OF HORMUZ, SHIPPING DATA SHOWS
BarakRavid (via Twitter) 🚨🇺🇸🚢Several U.S. navy ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, U.S. official says 🚨🇺🇸🚢The move was not coordinated with Iran. It's the first time this happens since the beginning of the war
*TRUMP: NOW STARTING PROCESS OF CLEARING OUT STRAIT OF HORMUZ
wowow