This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the European Union between April 10, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and EU as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the European Union, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
laaaaame haha better luck next time yes folks!
hah yeah gues no one had 700 dollars to try their luck
It’s a no
What is the result?
This mf very well could resolve to yes. Im not about to propose but soooomebody please pony up the funds, theres plently of evidence of an agreement!!
Agree
1 day 🥲
Hi, I am new to this. Does the pause qualify? If it does, why is the YES option only 2%??
Few days ago, US pause tariff on EU. These qualified for given timestamp from 10 April to 30 May
On 14 April, EU pause tariff on US.
[link removed]
EU makes request regarding tariffs. Trump agrees to request regarding tariffs. Befoee this request, July 9th had no significance. Now it does. Business will have to act accordingly, different to how they wouldve acted had the 50% tariffs go into effect June 1st. President Donald Trump has agreed to a request for an extension on a proposed 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, which he initially threatened would go into effect on June 1. In a Truth Social post on Sunday, Trump said he received a call from European Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen requesting an extension on the June 1 tariff hike. "I agreed to the extension - July 9, 2025 - It was my privilege to do so," Trump wrote. "The Commission President said that talks will begin rapidly. Thank you for your attention to this matter!"
This should be YES. [link removed] President Donald Trump said Sunday that he has agreed to delay a 50% tariff on European Union imports until July 9, the latest instance of Trump declaring an impending tariff and throwing markets into confusion only to later walk back the threatened levies. Trump said he and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a “very nice call” that led to the delay. “(Von der Leyen) said she wants to get down to serious negotiation,” Trump told reporters at Morristown Municipal Airport in New Jersey. “July 9 would be the day, that was the date she requested. Could we move it from June 1 to July 9? I agreed to do that.”
I hope there are some yes holders in here willing to pony up the funds to dispute this. Im seeing some good arguments for there being a deal made....
@gena ngl if you are a poozy stop complaining.. u aint even tough enough to propose a resolution but u still cry
u are the worst manipulator ive ever seen
Can some1 propose?
There are 0 reasons for this to go P4, and there are enough precedents. The agreement was between the leader of the USA and the leader of the EU, they made it public and there is a consensus of credible reporting
To add to this, "The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the European Union, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify." The market rules clearly state that an official announcement by the US and/OR the EU, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, is enough for resolution. This means that a joint press release or formal treaty are not required. Since both sides publicly acknowledged the agreement and credible outlets confirm it, this easily meets the criteria set by the rules.
his market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement.... between the United States and the European Union"
a mutual agreement was reached yesterday between the EU and the US on the subject of tariffs, that is grounds for a YES outcome. The only reason this is so low is because people don't read the rules and believe we need a "full" trade deal to be signed.
Yes, what you're saying is true, but the communication channels need to talk about an actual deal, not just the possibility of one.
The rules refer to an agreement, which differs from a deal by definition. An agreement can be as simple as harmony or accordance in opinion. In this case, postponement still qualifies as an agreement, and credible news outlets widely recognize it as such.
The additional context clarifies that the lowering of tariffs is also considered a mutual agreement. However, the market resolves based on the primary scenario, which is an official agreement of any nature regarding trade and/or tariffs. Furthermore, there is already an overwhelming consensus among credible news outlets reporting on the matter.
The possibility of a "yes" is literally less than 1%. Maybe you don’t know this, but in Europe we have a lot of bureaucracy, and in 5 days it’s physically impossible to reach a deal. What’s more, Ursula von der Leyen has requested an extension until July 9th for the pact, pushing it beyond the original deadline of June 1st.
Both sides agreed, there is a delay of tariffs, there is consensus of credible reporting... Seems there is everything for this market to resolve YES but vibes