This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
abu bakr al-baghdadi died , he died like a dog , he died like a coward , anyone really thinks US is gonna leave Iraq they litterally owns Iraq lol
An unknown (possibly Iranian) drone has struck Camp Taji, an Iraqi air base 27km north of Baghdad
Ggs LOL
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This is June 12.
the most undervalued Israel-Iran bet
yes is IMMINENT
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I dont understand how anyone can be buying no, this war has just been escalated. Why should Americans be left within missle range of Iran after they have REPEATEDLY promised a retaliation? I expect this news to be public soon.
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This seems like the most undervalued Israel-Iran bet, if the US strikes Iran this would undoubtedly happen, and yet it’s a quarter of the odds for the former.