This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point between June 18, 2025, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. High ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trump just threatened Iran [link removed]
"The strikes on Iran did not destroy the nuclear sites. The core components of Iran’s nuclear program remain intact, and the program is expected to be delayed by only a few months." - CNN, quoting unnamed US intelligence sources. [link removed]
I bought from my second account. Do you advise me to wait longer?
If Iran lets the US military monitor uranium, will the market become more stable?
Advice: Don't sell because the market will stabilize and we will make high profits.
"A truce? A media illusion. The reality: Iran bombed Israel, Israel bombed Iran, and the militias are preparing to attack American bases. The mobilization is ongoing, and the tension is abnormal. American forces are not coming for a walk... Their entry into Iran has become a real possibility, and betting on a 'yes' is cheaper than its actual value, by the way!"
Breaking news: Trump expected to bring in American troops to maintain ceasefire
Why not post link
The thumbnail for this market should be a picture of a magnet.
FOX NEWS: ATTACK ON US BASE IN QATAR UNDERWAY [link removed]
Iran just bombed US bases in Qatar and Iraq
https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-military-action-against-iran-by-june-30/another-us-military-action-against-iran-by-june-30?tid=1750668965362
Much more reasonable
Any tippers before WW3 starts? 😭
Special operations are absolutely US forces and any activity they engage in on iranian soil should resolve this market to yes. The terms need to be changed.
yeah these rules are lame :D
BREAKING: "American military and intelligence officials have detected signs that Iran-backed militias are preparing to attack US bases in Iraq, and possibly Syria, in retaliation for the US strikes in Iran." - New York Times. [link removed]
It’s not politically correct to use the term, “Regime Change,” but if the current Iranian Regime is unable to MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN, why wouldn’t there be a Regime change??? MIGA!!! [link removed]
why can I cash out the profits? It only gives back my initial amount(new here)
The most you can get back is the “Bids” highest number. It’s at 11 cent as I type this
Boots on the ground in Iran would just be sending people to their death
buy yes, Iran's gonna attack us military bases, Usa will have to intervene
THE UNITED STATES HAS ENTERED ISRAEL'S WAR AGAINST IRAN." - New York Times homepage lmao [link removed]
I have found a value bet Will the US strike the Fordow nuclear facility before July For me it should be sixty NO instead of forty My opinion is NO as there are many factors that decrease the likelihood of this happening see the rules where the attack must penetrate and not be neutralized and that underscore that the attack is unlikely now Key Technical Limitations Fordow is a reinforced underground facility protected by several meters of concrete and rock designed to withstand conventional or drone attacks Attacks with conventional missiles kamikaze drones or normal aerial bombardment would likely be intercepted or insufficient to neutralize Fordow.
The only weapon capable of safely destroying Fordow is the GBU fifty seven MOP bunkerbuster bomb designed to penetrate deep ground and concrete Shortage of GBU fifty seven MOP bombs and strategic value US Trump possesses a very limited number of these highly specialized and strategic bombs Their use entails a very high risk if they fail it would be a political and military blow to Trump damaging his image That is why it is unlikely that Trump will use them unless the provocation is irrefutable or the political pressure is irresistible Internal Political Division and Geopolitical Context There are strong voices within the Republican Party MAGA base and Congress pushing to avoid another military conflict in the Middle East Trump seeks to avoid a prolonged war or a conflict that would open a new front against Russia and China Irans allies International warnings especially from Russia about catastrophic nuclear risks or regional escalation are holding back military action US intelligence believes that Iran is not actively manufacturing nuclear weapons making it difficult to justify a preemptive strike legally and politically
so we need a good false flag like Israel attacking one of US' ships for example...
Israel Said they could also be also destroyed by ground troops, the cost for US would be probably very high through such an act without a false flag.
This aged like smelly socks under my bed
So, if a pilot ejects like what occured in Iraq qualifies?
good question