This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Iran for combat operations at any point between June 21, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. High ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran is too tough to defeat, so let's pick an easier target, like Venezuela.
Hard to see this happening.
Easiest money ever -- though little yield -- selecting NO.
Easy money - No yield.
This must be the easiest money ever. US will move into Iran to protect the shipping lanes.
The US can wipe out the whole Iranian navy from either air or sea. Why would they need boots on the ground?
And you are calling yourself smart?
One word: Sea mines
Thats... ....two words