GeopoliticsMarkets
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3117%
July 316%
June 303%
May 31<1%
$26,302,931 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31$2M Vol.17%
1%
July 31$13K Vol.6%
2%
June 30$3M Vol.RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
who even Yes this
hello
funny how we're all trying to pick the winner while weather-bot users are quietly making 250%+ returns over on the weather markets
honestly the weather-bot edge makes sense, forecasts beat the order book on the weather markets so 250%+ tracks
BrightStars sold 26,085 Yes for June 30 at 2.7¢ ($695)
hey
1:21 PM - Trump: I am not considering a covert operation to seize Iran uranium. There's no reason to get Iran nuclear dust, it's entombed.
you never know. Trump said he will unearthen the nuclear dust and he will not end the war until he gets it.
So if Iran ships the Uranium to China, and China agrees with the US it won't give it back to Iran unless the US violates the deal - does that count as the Uranium being "under US control" in the rules? Indirectly in a legal way it kinda is, just not physical. That likely outcome should be clarified by Polymarket or there should be some consensus how it would resolve
And the rules say "physical custody OR control" and "US territory or elsewhere" - so in a typical resolution dispute drama it could be argued, even if far fetched, that China holding it qualifies as legal control outside US territory
It will be shipped to China
So the US buys it from China or what?
This is a scam obviously
TheQuietRisk - mad ?
come on mojtaba just give Trump 1 miligram of uranium and we all will be happy
Stop The Delay
no? i'm too lazy to figure out why.
pulled this up on Ten poly on a whim and now I genuinely can't look away
fu
??
thankssss
Just go in an nip the uranium lmao
not easy
I could do it
I'll see what I can do
emergency alert ! [link removed]
hmmmmm
Yolft predicts no peace deal by June end, forget US obtaining uranium
you should learn iranian military history if you think that US obtains uranium
take a hear here [link removed]
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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