This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in the United States within the calendar year 2024, based on the seasonally adjusted annual rate. This includes any two successive quarters: Q1-Q2, Q2-Q3, or Q3-Q4. The determination will be based on the most recently released report by the BEA for each quarter. If GDP data for Q1, Q2, or Q3 is revised before the release of the Advance Estimate for Q4, the most recent revision available will be used for market resolution instead of the initial Advance Estimate. Revisions made after the release of the Q4 Advance Estimate will not be considered for any quarters, including Q4 itself. The primary resolution source for this market is the BEA’s official data on the seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly US real GDP, as available on their website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if there is ambiguity in the official data.
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not before the inauguration
no time for recesion in 2024r
yup
possibel!
not possible in 2024
there is no time left for a recession this year.
Recession
time is on our side
BEA Q3 2024 GDP advance estimate: +2.8%
When this contract will be liquidated?
easy mone
yeaaa
I'd bet on the 2025 recession odds. The government is still stimulating the economy
I'm surprised how low the liquidity is.
same
It's coming and the commercial realestate market is going to crash it.
Zero chance of a recession.
If you're so sure why haven't you bet anything
We have been in one, but what you mean is "0 chance the BEA will report one"
thne you should bet some :)
Choosing Yes to recession a good hedge against the Crypto dip due to recession.
Crypto has been doing incredibly well this recession. That's what it's designed to do...
It’s terrible in recession. It does well in extreme abundance. Bitcoin is an inflation hedge by design, but a recession hedge. And it has not done well as an inflation hedge.
There is arguably nothing worse than crypto as Crypto is arguably the single worst recession hedge in the world. It's a leverage on global liquidity. See 2022 - 2023 low phase, 2024 rallye... That's all it is.
hahahaha check the fed data and its look like recession
you can always buy yes if you believe
I dont belivie in recession!
bullrun is coming
just no
yes
noway