GeopoliticsMarkets
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$603,523 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$604K Vol.6%
1%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Javid Shah
comment blocked?
Free money on Yes
Baron: Dad you know the drill. Make ppl believe you don't support RP so we can buy the yes on polymarket for dirt cheap and 8x our money.
why are you saying that
That's someone with Trump Derangement Syndrome or TDS. The symptoms include delusions about polymarket orderbooks (that we can all see, by the way) being deep enough to even equal 0.00001% of Trumps net worth. As I type this there are 105,000 yes shares available and 100,000 no shares. 100k isn't even close to 1 billion. Being a liberal turns your brain to mush. Now lets all point and laugh at the dunce. lol
Baron: Dad you know the drill. Make ppl believe you don't support RP so we can buy the yes on polymarket for dirt cheap then 8x our money.
Baron: Dad, you know the drill. Make it seem like there's no chance you will support Reza Pahlavi so we can buy "yes" on polymarket for dirt cheap and 8x our investment
have you seen the prank call lol
look venezuela
your crazy to not buy this... you have a whole year
1. There might be a ceasefire deal 2. There might be a power vacuum or a long war/civil war, with an unstable government in Iran 3. Why would they even choose Reza Pahlavi?
20 years in the can
eating grilled cheese from the radiator
Whatever happened there
i compromised
I doubt it [link removed]
Make Iran Great Again
javid shah
lets go!!
The U.S. isn't recognizing Pahlavi because they love the monarchy; they're doing it because they need a credible 'Plan B' for when the IRGC collapses
yeah so ? who cares.
nobody is here to debate this shit, my guy.
Can we at least update the market photo
yeah get a pic of him at the wall with the yamaka on, odds would go up
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes · Yes
Amount
$
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