GeopoliticsMarkets
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 3138%
March 31<1%
January 31<1%
$6,013,571 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31$4M Vol.38%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Other dates?
No
Trump said he deserves the Nobel price ,he's such a peaceful man 🙏
Marco Rubio, do it for your fellow countrymen—put an end to that damn dictatorship
The USS Nimitz just entered the Caribbean. By now, we all know what happens when Trump moves an aircraft carrier.
But hey: maybe this time is different
What is there to strike?
A bunch of shit and dirt
schools and hospitals, like they did in iran
no such thing
US strike Cuba for what? cigar or crude oil?
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify
Cuban government issues mass pardon, freeing over 2,000 prisoners.... Interesting because this is exactly what Iraq did before it was invaded
Can someone resolve please
I tried, but you gotta be whitelisted to propose resolution 😒
Rules say „This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time“
The war with Iran isn't over yet; Cuba will have to wait a bit longer.
Scam below
Sanction, Starve, Threaten, Blackmail, Blockaid ..all YES .. but bomb 100% NO
Trump said that Cuba would be next.
Trump's not going to be able to do shit after the Iran debacle.
Cuba has gone dark... Again
Cuba might reach a turning point, but I'm not sure
The shareholders welcome intervention in Cuba to give the Cuban people the delicious taste of our trademarked Chicken Nuggets. They'll be lovin' it soon enough!
Who could resist the fine taste of American culture! Cheap processed food and soda is exactly what what your arteries need. I'll be sure to leave a big tip. 🇺🇲💪
i think i got banned from commenting lol
Some locals are reporting that the fires and sounds of helicopters above Havana are due to military drills by the Cuban military. obviously they are preparing for mr trumps next distraction from his failure to arrest pedos
Him self surrendering as the pedo kingpin would be his top 1 political achievement imho
Cuba would lose those helicopters on day one. Cuba needs to spend less money on their defense, which is worthless against the US and spend more of it on their people....providing jobs, healthcare and food.
Can we get some more dates? April, June, September
Cuban dictator Miguel Díaz-Canel publicly threatens Donald Trump and Marco Rubio, telling them they will “meet with an impregnable resistance” if they dare to touch him.
That is a sign of weakness. BS bravado to encourage his followers, and lessen the chance of losing his life like Julius Caesar.
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31 · Yes
Amount
$
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