US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Yesssss

Happy Russia day everybody!

Aragchi: •⁠⁠ ⁠We have not yet signed a memorandum of understanding with the United States, and changes are possible. •⁠ ⁠Negotiations with America will take place in two stages. •⁠ ⁠The nuclear issue will be discussed in the final agreement. The American nuclear demands at this stage were not acceptable. •⁠ ⁠The end of the war will include all fronts, including Lebanon. •⁠ ⁠Ending the siege and opening the Strait of Hormuz is part of the temporary agreement. •⁠ ⁠Israel opposes the agreement between Iran and America.

This will never result as yes. Now I know how people make money here. It's so simple.

Can we have peace and I win moneys? Win - win situation

Yes, sure. But not soon. The full process of signing a PERMANENT peace deal is not so easy to resolve in couple of days like they say

free money easy no all will be no lmao

checking in — looks like a close one

And holy projection, all Israel and US accuse others of is stuff they doing themselves, its really quite remarkable how embarrassing it is to listen to their rhetoric, its cringe and horrible at the same time!

Only thing you can trust bout Israelis is you cant trust them!

Araghchi: The signing of the memorandum of understanding will be conducted digitally and remotely after passing the final stages of negotiations, which will be announced and may take place in the coming days.

😂😂😂😂🤣🤣

Israel isn't going to allow a permanent peace deal.

Agreements that are explicitly temporary will not qualify. An MOU is 100% temporary until a final agreement is reached.

If the text says "We will both end military hostilities", then it won't matter what the title of the document is

It doesn't matter if the document is temporary. Read the rules.

Aragchi: if what is stated in the MoU is not implemented, negotiations for a final agreement will not take place it doesn't sound to me like satisfying "lasting basis" clause

Elon musk ascends to godhood and liberates us all

I can't understand: why yes holders taking so much risk with June 15-30, if it makes much more sense mathematically to pick Aug-Dec yes, due to "permanent" clause of this market? Even if there will be the line about ending war on all fronts in MOU, it is still an interim agreement, regardless of how you look on it, so it does not satisfy "lasting basis" clause. You will make less money, but derisk yourselves massively if you simply pick anything starting from Aug 31

Look at the price! The agreement will happen end of the year, not now.

Read better. As long as military hostilities have an intended permanent end it doesnt matter whether nuclear issues et are not reaolved:

Read better. As long as military hostilities have an intended permanent end it doesnt matter whether other issues like nuclear issues will remain unresolved. "A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities"

@Operomal I'm not talking about nuclear issues at all. Rules state: "Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify." there is OR. OR means that even one of these is enough for it to not qualify. if there was AND, yeah, sure, you would've had a point

bro u right but Poly rules might be tricky I play with u and hope all will be good there

The “OR” point is right, but you’re assuming “interim” automatically means the end of hostilities is temporary. The criteria only disqualify it if the agreement is explicitly temporary as to the peace/cessation, or lacks lasting end-of-hostilities language. An MoU can be interim on nuclear/sanctions implementation while still definitively saying U.S.–Iran military hostilities have permanently ended. That would seem to satisfy the text.

yup. I get it why it's around 50/50 what I don't get is why yes holders are taking risks with coinflip here instead buying Aug 31 which is much more attractive

I think "interim" covers all documnet because it's like a time to check if the US follows its agreements

like, June 15 is 17/83 but june 30 is 44/56, July 31 55/45? Either first one is mispriced, or second is

the talks are going on for interim deal not the final and permanent one. the probability that M Khamenei agrees for US terms is low.

Dispoot incoming

Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi: Interim deal is the first step, if not implemented, there will be no nuclear talks.

If he says “interim” I think no holders are good

Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: The end of the US blockade and the reopening of the Sea of ​​Hormuz are part of a temporary agreement. According to the temporary agreement, a ceasefire will be declared on all fronts, including Lebanon. They keep saying it's a temporary agreement, how can it be a permanent peace agreement?

我也这样认为的

是的，不知道为什么目前市场这样定价

it cannot. the next one will be permanent (if first one goes smooth). yes holders should buy oct/dec instead, or aug as it has much more balanced risk/return profile

IRAN'S ARAQCHI: END OF WAR ON ALL FRONTS, INCLUDING IN LEBANON, WILL BE ANNOUNCED UNDER INTERIM DEAL

The enemy will commit to no longer initiating war, refraining from using threats and force, with both sides respecting each other's sovereignty and not interfering in one another's internal affairs.

Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: According to the interim agreement, a ceasefire will be declared on all fronts, including Lebanon. This is "interim".

Okay then, selling my Yes

intermim is inital deal not final. also nuclear talks are gonna continue for long.

Never trust ☪️. Anything can happen here