This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula Von der Leyen ceases to be President of the European Commission for any length of time between May 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Von der Leyen departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Motion on von der lyen now
EU parliament begins debate on no confidence motion on von der Leyen
there we go: [link removed]
This market is stupid. Sadly opportunity cost means it doesn't make sense to buy a lot
I think the attention will rise once the legal battle takes some turns. the year still has 212 days...