This market will resolve to "Wicked" if “Wicked: For Good” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "Avatar: Fire and Ash" (2025). This market will resolve to "Avatar" if “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (2025) will gross at least as much on its opening weekend compared to "Wicked: For Good" (2025). The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "Wicked: For Good" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (November 21-23/December 19-21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
feels like I will have to admit my loss, congratulations Wicked ones
I'm sorry bro. We lost
please i want retired
Please I want retired
Please
lets go avatar please
We cooked guys even High end predictions are at $130M
lol
are we drawing dead?
Nope. The data still stands strong
Faith bro.
haha very little at this point. but i knew what i was buying.. it was a lotto ticket
Everything remains the same as a week ago
I disagree here brother, yesterday the review embargo lifted and I'd say reviews are not doing it a favor. Good luck tho, praying for u. The biggest shot we have if is all the ages 30-40+ that have not much online presence to go and watch the movie on the OW, like it happened with Top Gun maverick - was a huge surprise how many boomers/ gen X showed up.
Lol, scamming fool. Stop lying.
Five days ago you claimed Avatar 3 will open with only 16 million over the weekend domestically, I am more inclined to believe sargallot.
David Cameron is the quintessential boomer director. The whole plot of Avatar is boomer bait that should have been released in the 1990's but the tech wasnt there. Its all environmentalism, hippie stuff, retelling of the noble savage, save the whales, nuclear bad etc etc.
That is nonsense Bushwalker. Because I've since upgraded my forecast (through very rigorous models and mathematics, including statistical forecasting) to 16.5 million for Friday through Sunday. The forecast for Sunday has improved and I'm anticipationg an additional 25,000 people will watch it that day. Don't ever slander me again that I am predicting $16m. I am not. It is $16.5m.
lmfao pre-sales alone stand on 32m wdym? Clown
According to my models and calculations, you do not have any models and calculations!
simply because I think different I am no scammer nor fool. I can be wrong, yet I am still respectful
@ImjustKen wants barbie to still hold the records and that's why he's betting against avatar 3 lol
Avatar is the bigger movie overall, but this market only measures U.S. opening weekend. Wicked is built for a fast fan-driven opening with shorter runtime and more showings, while Avatar spreads demand over weeks. The market may still be overconfident on Wicked, but that’s why Avatar pays huge upside.
According to BoxOfficePro Avatar 3 is expected to be between $135M and $165M
Pre-sales are at 22m btw. It can easily beat 147m just chillax
I think that was a long range forecast from a few weeks back I am still hopeful though
just like times person of the year lol, these markets can't predict some things.
@ImJustKen adding more at .97
a new dude just came in and swept 53K for Avatar!
@eldshi what do you know? what is the Sauce
@Eldshi
Nothing just think 2.5% chance is way too low
ok got it
there is doomsday trailer with avatar and rest you know my friends
people will go just for that
avatar 3 pre-sales are at 18M at T-4 days. This is such a easy win hahaha
Excited to see the prices shift real quick
Where can I track it?
Seat heatmaps, X profiles (movie tracking profiles n box office related, PLF occupancies. This is an estimate and can have variance of 2-3 m up n down but something around 18m
Avatar, easily. James Cameron owns December, and people go crazy for that pure spectacle, especially in IMAX. Wicked is huge, but musicals are still niche compared to a huge sci-fi sequel. Avatar wins the weekend, no contest.
How can Avatar 3 not outperform Wicked? The release to theaters is as almost in the winter holidays when many are looking for these type of movies, epic family bonding stories. Also many of the tickets will be bought for IMAX or 3D which are more expensive than regular tickets. Avatar 3 is an event to enjoy high quality either 3D or IMAX.
you should take out a loan and put it all on avatar
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
I am going to win 18k $ thanks to wicked betters
we are cooked
Being this arrogant while holding one of most negative EV positions I've ever seen is crazy.
Who?
@ImJustKen
I know right. If Avatar wins, he deserves to lose ngl. Not everyone deserves money. Bro got lucky
Imagine not cashing on 98c. Y'all deserve to lose lol. Watch the odds flip in few days
LMAO...all people with positive PNL are for Wicked and all Negative PNL and degens are for AVATAR. this market doesn't need much studying.
how come you bought Avatar?
In Sargallot We Trust. LOL
ma men 🤜🏼🤛🏽
yeeeeep
Wow, you’re really deep into it
this is gonna be funny ngl. I'm excited to see the flip on Thursday night. The whales trembling, while everyones buying avatar ahhhhhh