This market will resolve to "Yes" if any named tropical system makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane between June 1 and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any hurricane makes multiple landfalls in the contiguous United States, each landfall will be considered for the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether a system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
its joever
Is it me or was there nothing in the about section a few days ago?
Hurricane Dexter
1 cat 5 has made landfall since 1992 but this market gives a 15% chance lol
same in miami market ...
Yeah I don't understand why these markets are so overpriced. Wary of crossliability though so I doubt I'll get in on that one just yet