Andy Burnham$4K Vol.
Keir Starmer$10K Vol.
Angela Rayner$1K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Under Labour rules, Kier Starmer automatically appears on the ballot. This is massively underpriced.
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If Starmer resigns he wouldn't be a candidate, just as Blair wasn't in the 2007 leadership election. Very unlikely that he will resign though as he's given every indication that he'll need to be dragged out kicking and screaming.
Miliband yes? Google the EdStone
Will be the Day of the Living Ed
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Wes Streeting$5K Vol.
Ed Miliband$435 Vol.
Al Carns$1K Vol.