Yes$2M Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
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It is impossible for this to happen this year. Even if the vote in october passes, it would need a referendum and more legal stuff from both countries, that would take at least a year at the fastest
Free money for Alberta to not join US
We aren't joining the US. This is about freedom from tyranny of Ottawa. We aren't exchanging the CRA for the IRS. Happy to do free trade deals tho.
Alberta joining the US is pure internet meme fuel.
wtf is this market
2026 are too early, why not create a market for 2027 and 2028 too?
Because 2026 is too early..... '-'