Andy Burnham$760K Vol.
No Next PM in 2026$497K Vol.
Al Carns$294K Vol.This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
He’s going to blast into parliament on a white horse lads
MEGA
test
This is a scam obviously
I don't really understand market even half-considering Burnham winning the by-election and then Starmer not being immediately thrown out. Is it not the universal understanding is that its leadership contest IMMEDIATELY should Burnham get in.
Burnham kenyon trade is so good
starmer will stay
Streeting bottled himself.
Yeah Burnham not winning that seat LOL
Going to be tough alright. A brief dip into Makerfield social media chats tells you they aren't going to roll over and have their tummies tickled!
MP stands down for Burnham to take the seat. Here we go!
miliband or rayner, clearly...
Plenty of money to be made here as realistically only Streeting / Rayner / Carns and Miliband can run. Assuming they each get 81 MPs on board, which is unlikely
if starmer resigns anyone can run
What seat would Burnham realistically run for to enable him to compete?
Guess that question is answered 🤣
Wes Streeting can never win. Miliband is a lunatic that has already been rejected. Rayner's taxes are under investigation and in any case she is clearly not the brightest. IF they are sane, they will look for somebody that MIGHT be able to turn their fortunes around. There is only one man that fits the bill. Nigel will look like a tit trying to argue with someone more masculine and relatable to normal people than he is.
the best plan logically is to just keep starmer and focus on delivering
More and more whispers on Carns. Probably not an eventual winner but likely deserves to be up around 10-12%. I think he will stand in a contest, then negotiate his withdrawal from a vote in exchange for SoS for Defence, and act as minority kingmaker with his smaller voting block.
Burnham can't run he's not an MP and Starmer won't let him back, Wes doesn't have the party support, Angela doesn't pay her taxes. Realistically it's Ed or Al
Starmer has to let him run this time the NEC won't allow him to be blocked again.
hello kindly delete this
Bridget Phillipson lol
it was 0.3c let me have my fun
Starmer is done
he is staying bud
Tommy Robinson for PM!
This will pass. He will stay
Starmer saying for 3 more years
no chance
I think we have a chance ......
Where is Dianne Abbott?
I’m too Jewish to edge my bets but there is almost a 17% arb opportunity rn between this market and the Starmer out market
these 2 markets always work like that. i somehow managed to buy 5k at 34c here, when it was trading 51c on the other one lol.
I was v tempted to go all in but I think the cockroach survives so may as well not lose most of the profits
If anything though this market should be priced higher as it needs a new PM and the other only needs Starmer to retire, crazy
Rules of starmer bet "An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect." So if starmer announces a plan to leave in 2026 but doesnt fully complete this till 2027 starmer out resolves yes while next UK PM in 2026 resolves to no next pm in 2026
What's my religion got to do with anything ?
Wes Streeting$356K Vol.
Angela Rayner$565K Vol.
Ed Miliband$420K Vol.
Nigel Farage$940K Vol.
Yvette Cooper$355K Vol.
Shabana Mahmood$370K Vol.
Rupert Lowe$863K Vol.
John Healey$150K Vol.
Lucy Powell$484K Vol.
Kemi Badenoch$434K Vol.
Boris Johnson$348K Vol.
Ed Davey$531K Vol.
Bridget Phillipson$216K Vol.
Rachel Reeves$647K Vol.
Robert Jenrick$471K Vol.
David Lammy$481K Vol.
James Cleverly$422K Vol.