Makerfield by-election Winner

The real alpha in this market is figuring out Kishco's sleeping patterns to play the daily swings when he goes to sleep and wakes up

uk markets are shakey

Lol Burnham is winning comfortably

Rationale: "The momentum of the "Burnham for Leader" movement has successfully transformed a local by-election into a national focusing event. While the Reform challenge is significant, the convergence of Labour's internal power players in the constituency and the crystallization of a "tactical" vote to prevent a Reform upset favor a "narrow but firm victory" for Burnham. The "shy" voters identified in recent reporting suggest that the public support for Labour remains stronger than the raw local election data suggested."

Yolft predictive intelligence is giving only 55% chance to Burnham

What’s caused the big drop for Burnham?

Today (June 11), a new poll has put Andy Burnham on 35%, with Reform on 24% and Restore on 13%. The data, reported by the i Paper, has 17% of voters still saying they are undecided, however.

The poll was rubbish

Ministerial resignations today maybe, though tbf Burnham is hardly running on the current Labour mess

Where? I can't find it.

There's no reason. It's 100% due to Kishco buying 200,000 shares over the course of the day and driving Kenyon up/Burnham down

Yeah I presumed so

Reform have begun to copy restores leaflets and changed there website logo to one that looks alot like restores. obvs just a coincidence!

Please can you buy more Rebecca Shepherd yes.

Can people from US put more money on Restore? They are winning this

I talked to Rebecca today hehe

What did she say

That she thought she had a chance.

Lol

i dont think she has a chance

Why are some of the names listed for the minor parties in this election e.g. LibDem, Green, Tory out of date or completely wrong?

Yolft is giving only 20

God Damn It! If Restore Britain really loves this country, they should step down in Makerfield and let Reform win. They are splitting the right.

bro's finding out in real-time that the far-right doesn't actually love the country

They will never get my vote because they are too far left. So you are not splitting any votes. And there are loads more like me. Reform change with the wind. Maybe not this time with Makerfield but soon Restore will rule the country.

its so funny people think right wing govnernment is going to be less controlling lmao. How fucking dense can you get

Where is Count Binface? Please can we add the serious political heavyweights.

A market can be so easy sometimes, I don't even need to do any research if I see all my favourite sharps on the same side lmao

Hey do you have a Twitter/Discord?

Makerfield is a majority white, Christian and British constituency where 65% of the population voted to leave the EU

Support for Brexit has waned across the country, around 40-60% now. I doubt if there's much of a majority left in this constituency. Wigan voted 66.1% Burnham in 2024 verses 11.5% Reform in the Mayoral elections, so he has enormous appeal, far more than any other Labour candidate. This explains why he's the strong favourite. Although Restore won't get a large vote, they can damage Reform's chances far more than the Greens can damage Burnham.

"Hey look at how hard Ladbrokes is raping their customers the odds should be the same here"

😄

Fresh anon account pumping buying tons of Shepherd and nothing else, UK bookies talking about big restore flows. Feels like someone could be trying to pump the odds to artificially lift her relevance...

Rebecca Shephard splitting the reform-vote?

You mean splitting the right wing vote, and while technically the answer is yes, it can not be looked at it that way. Lowe and Restore are changing UK politics, just look what they have achieved in Great Yarmouth. People are starting to see that you need to vote for a party that aligns with you, rather than party which you believe has the best chance of winning which aligns with whatever side of the fence you're on. Lowe is doing it right. She has a great chance and I think they're going to throw everything at this one. Great odds right now on Rebecca Shepherd, that will change.

Lmao

Retard

🥱

Always funny when leftists call others retarded.

We're not leftists, just dudes happy to take money from your dumb asses

realistically burnham comfortably wins

Why is Restore's Rebecca Shephard not on here? Restore are third favourites at 9/1 currently with Ladbrokes.

and dropping fast, most bookies around 5/1 and 6/1 now including ladbrookes. great price on these exchanges to be had

Add rebecca shepard