This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new HomePod mini product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "HomePod mini" and be recognized as a successor to the original HomePod mini product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new HomePod mini product released without a number, under a designation other than HomePod mini 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the HomePod mini and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Those "out of stock" alerts in November had me convinced, but December is always a blackout for Apple hardware. They won't drop a new SKU this late. Save your money for the S10 version in March
Don't trade on this, either side can get cooked by additional context (see Vision Pro)
I believe there is unintended wording in this section: An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
it feels like this could get caught by the current ambiguity over the Vision Pro 2 issue...? i.e. they could launch an updated product but it may not qualify. the 'qualifying product' rules are at risk of ambiguity here. would be good to get them clarified before, not after any product release.
then sell