Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

[link removed]

i am really confused as to why openai is so secretive about their MAU number

new imagegpt will push the edge?

Yeah, you think an extra 200 million people will use chatgpt this month because imagegpt got updated from version 1.0 go 1.5? You think thats front page news in Indonesia?

Selling 5k, need cash for other stuff

According to "The Information" ChatGPT has already 900mi WAU. They are already at 1Bi MAU: [link removed]

market buy I beg you

cash out the dumbfuck who bought this yesterday. be the bigger fool

Go sell, they're soon releasing another big model update on top of being close to 900

xD

It's weekly as well, all that's missing is them outright saying more than 1bil monthly, which can already be implied

It cannot but go ham

(the 1.3x is wrong for chatgpt)

All you yestards need to please stop buying. Let the price drop to 4 cents so we can exit and then you can have even cheaper Yes. I don't want to wait another 3 weeks to redeem my money.

haha u’ll have to wait 10-14 days)

Yup this will crash right before christmas or whenever the yezzies start figuring out that with that 810M SensorTower/TechCrunch/WaPo number there's no way this ever goes yes unless OpenAI release a statement claiming 1B *MAU* against all evidence.

such scam is impossible - reputation risks are too high and they cant find 200 millions of new users for 1 month in modern reality

That number also comes from openai directly as of dec 8th

No sweetheart, those are "weekly" active users, this market is about monthly ones

[link removed]

"The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI" - the article I linked has 800M WAU, going by industry standards we're already past 1b MAU by an official source.

Buy more bitch

that doesn't mean that it is 3.2 millions per month as 800*4 haha, 800 millions user are not unique, these are the same guys that use it everyday like google previously for searching preveously

there are official stats that showed only 800kk in November and +0.8% vs Oct and +1.5% vs Oct, it is GG yestards)

I would if I knew that they'd respect a calculated MAU in the solver. Also @needyourcash it's not 3.2 billion and I never said that, but you can calculate pretty easily based on industry data what kind of range that translates to, and it's well over 1.1b

'A guesstimation will also do' isn't in the market rules.

Also stop quoting your LLM on what the 'industry standard' is. The industry standard is to look at the MAU data from the professional analytics firm and conclude that OpenAI has a very sticky product and they're rounding up their numbers a bit

stats can be checked by others sites - if they already reach 1billion they would of announce it for sure

Cope

If you want any chance of this going yes you better propose right fucking now.

Guys it's over.

Do you really want me to sell part of this shit to trick you guys into buying more yes?

Let it go

I told you guys what I was going to do and you fell for it! You fell for it!

It's like the new Google. Everyone uses it for something.

Funny market

What if Open AI never officially announces anything? Does it automatically resolve to No? Or does it go to third-party analysts? What if December traffic gets analyzed in January, yet this proposition closes on Dec 31?

Market closes on Dec 31. If OpenAI doesn't make a statement and and analytics firms don't have a consensus on it being above 1B, it goes no

Which it will

Congrats on the wildly successful trade by the way.

Market seems mispriced, but the main thing is if they'll even report on it... given that the question is hosted by TBPN I assume they'll crunch the numbers at the end and post it but honestly hard to say :/

Yeah- I think reporting is what's weird

Thinking about taking out that 9k wall tbh

[link removed]

Waiting for the next pump.

Nah. It's over

Warned you

"And furthermore, Kepios analysis of August 2025 data from Similarweb suggests that ChapGPT’s monthly active user figure should be roughly 1.3 times higher than its weekly active user figure, which puts the likely monthly user figure for ChatGPT around 1 billion in its own right." [link removed]

why hasn't this been resolved yet? even though openAI hasn't confirmed it, other than them confirming 700M WAUs, the other reputable sources have confirmed it. Genuinely, what am i missing here?

700m WAU only means 700m minimum MAU, its not visits. And its most definitely not (MAU=WAU*4)

that's right, thanks for the clarification

Pretty weird why this is so mispriced. Similarweb show monthly visit for ChatGPT about 5.9B, and Google Gemini for 1.1B, while Gemini reporting 400M monthly active users.

Note that 400M for Gemini is even reported at May

Monthly visit is not MAU. Still mispriced, but not because of this

they already have 800 million WEEKLY active users: [link removed] Its very likely they already have more than 1bln MONTHLY active users

guys this is completely mispriced, they probably already have 1b MAU:

ChatGPT MAU (Monthly Active Users) As of 2025, ChatGPT MAU has reached over 5.8 billion visits. However, if we go by the weekly estimate of 800 million weekly users, this roughly translates to 3.48 billion monthly users. (assuming similar usage patterns across the month). That’s a 7.606% increase from the previous month, where ChatGPT MAU (monthly visits) was about 5.39 billion.

[link removed]

monthly visits =/= monthly active users. How many times does that need to be said here.

yes but i am not talking about that, i am saying that 800M WAU must mean that there more than 1bln MAU. Look at the post above: "by the weekly estimate of 800 million weekly users, this roughly translates to 3.48 billion monthly users. (assuming similar usage patterns across the month)."

A fourth grader should be able to explain to you why that's dumb.