GeopoliticsMarkets
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 3177%
June 3065%
June 2153%
June 1843%
$33,695,723 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
July 31$1M Vol.77%
8%
June 30$4M Vol.65%
12%
June 21$33K Vol.53%
June 18$58K Vol.43%
June 15$2M Vol.25%
19%
RulesMarket Context
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
It is approaching midnight in Iran, do you think they are willing to stay up late to sign Trump 's deal on his birthday?
Trump: an agreement could be signed in the next couple hours
Iranian official says ‘strong response coming’ over Israel’s attacks on Beirut Ebrahim Azizi, head of the Iranian parliament’s national security committee, has threatened a “strong response” following Israel’s deadly attacks on Beirut today. “Today’s crime by the Zionist regime in Dahiyeh, Beirut, once again proved the US is weak without credibility, as it is not even capable of controlling this illegitimate regime. “A strong response is coming.”
Even if Iran really want to sign, they will not sign on Trump 's birthday. And Israel is complicating the situation, which makes today even more unlikely. And tmr is 15th, depends on how Iran retaliate Israel, we will know .....
holy schizo you bought so many no shares you convinced urself
Hey, schizo guy why did u sell your YES shares?? 🤣
Trump will not lift lockdown in Europe ,June 15 is free money
🇮🇱
Nice vibe.
Must have
Iran fired missiles, drones at bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan - Axios
Trump is heading to the G7 on June 15. If a blockade lift is really imminent, why would he leave the before it happens? What if something major develops in the next few days😂
he said it is likely he is gonna sign the deal in Europe so yeah could happen I mean I hope it does not but not so unlikely anymore
The Iranians have no intention of negotiating in Europe, and I think it's unlikely that Trump will lift the lockdown with just a memorandum. Trump is more likely to demand a major agreement before lifting the lockdown.
HOOOOOOOOOOLD
NO officially statement for the END
May God bless us🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
Guys i lost everything in this market due to the clarification if you won don't forget me since I couldn't bear it since this day soars on my soul on daily basis swear to God
bro you lost a hundred bucks
Believing trump or IRGC, you choose..
babe wake up.. trump will lift the blockade again
Trump’s line says: “The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL.” AND STILL YES IS AT 48C?
The IRGC-affiliated Fars News denies the MoU with the U.S. will be signed tomorrow, stating that Iranian negotiating officials “have clearly stated that the agreement has not yet been finalized and will definitely not be signed on Sunday.” “Trump's strange insistence on signing the agreement on Sunday is a test for the negotiating team, as it also coincides with Trump's birthday. Some observers believe that he is trying to use this occasion symbolically and turn it into a promotional event for himself,” Fars stated.
So, chat. Are we cooked?
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31 · Yes
Amount
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