If an Ethereum hard fork occurs between February 20 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Tim Beiko confirmed earliest possible date is April 25th. They scheduled another testnet + 30 day wait period. [link removed]
It was said that ETH would fork in March.
that was the original plan, but both testnet upgrades had issues, so its almost certainly delayed although it is not officially announced yet
May Market - https://polymarket.com/event/will-eth-hard-fork-before-may?tid=1741144498055
FYI, announced Pectra Hardfork in March :) [link removed]
Is it Hardfork?
Pectra Hardfork expected in March! They did this bet thinking about the hack. [link removed]
Pectra hardfork expected in March. Source: [link removed]