No IPO by June 30, 2026$28K Vol.
<200B$52K Vol.
200–250B$54K Vol.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Read this analysis on why a Fannie or Freddie IPO is unlikely to happen anytime before June 2026 end. [link removed]
A better question is "Will FNMA exit Conservatorship by March 31, 2026?"
No IPO Ever. They're publicly traded already. They're not even doing an offering. The government is exercising it's warrants. Then "The Government" not fannie mae is liquidating part of it's holdings. Everybody here loses for being stupid.
this is a very SMALL market based on volume. super confusing wording. Can Polymarket please create a simple contract -- will Fannie & Freddie have an IPO announced in November 2025? Simple as that.
it should be: "If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market "No IPO by June 30, 2026" will resolve to Yes. I.e.: if you think there will be an IPO before June 30, 2026, buy No.
yo the way this is worded is extremely confusing. If i just want to bet that there will be an ipo before june 30th, which option do i pick. Also what happens if they list them as one company?
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300–350B$111K Vol.
350–400B$16K Vol.
400B+$62K Vol.