PoliticsMarkets

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

45%+99%

40%+95%

50%+74%

60%+33%

$146,372 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

45%+$51K Vol.

99%

66%

40%+$35K Vol.

95%

33%

50%+$21K Vol.

RulesMarket Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.