December 31, 2026$42K Vol.
September 30, 2026$9K Vol.
July 31, 2026$73 Vol.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Can someone tell me if the June 30th odds are so high because people are expecting spud to be gpt6 and it releasing next week or because people expect it to release shortly after?
People said I was crazy when I said this was a good no buy because the market couldn't have been that dumb but yeah, I guess it was exactly that dumb
GPT6's technology is utterly uninnovative and they dare not release it,comparing it to DeepSeek is a joke.
anything china releases is largely just rewrapped from US companies
Thry are going to release gpt 5.4 then mybe gpt 6
Stacking No shares on a March release because hallucinating a model launch that soon is the real AI dream. 96.4 cents for a month of waiting is a 📉 textbook liquidity park for anyone not expecting a miracle.
After superbowl adds exposure they will definitly release Gpt-6 (even thought it will just be 5.3) marketing
Development already started, it will most likely be launched in 2026
openAI is supposed to release GPT 5.5 sometime late Q1, therefore its pretty unlikely they release gpt 6 before end of 2026.
5.1 Just released!!
Can you please tip me 1 dollar so i can try this platform. Appreciate it
i can tip you 1 dollar after i have had your sister
GPT-6 could be released by OpenAI, but the timeline and advancements remain uncertain as AI development continues at a rapid pace.
Insider new GPT 6 is coming way earlier
Same, i already tested it :P It's coming by February / Beginning of March :)
U guys r rping and should let me join; I'd like to take it in a more sexual direction
dumb
Insider new GPT 6 is coming way earlier
follow @VraserX on X
interesting, because you bought the later date ;)
vraser is garbo info source
OpenAI will release GPT-6 around Christmas. They're losing market share and they absolutely need a big win after GPT-5's flop.
Thank you for the illuminating market analysis
You're welcome.
No GPT-6 this year: Sam Altman to Tyler Cowen
I love ai marketing. Self selects for the most gullible people online.
Markets*
Confirmed by one of Openai's investors
says Brad Gerstner - Partner @altcap (Investors in OpenAI)
Its happening!
[link removed]
Very interesting how this possibility is so undervalued, considering many insider talks: [link removed]
QAnon for AI bros, love to see it
excelent argument, keep funding cheap yes
Lol, buy more bitch
WOW, excelent argument
im thinking you are a kid who just steal her mammas card
while i agree that oai is likely targeting a release by this date, you are failing to consider that they have constant delays for things. gpt5 was pushed back for months. same with the open weight model and the browser.... you have to factor in their delays after you estimate their "target" date
Why would they?
"GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count)" whoever writes these rules is retarded
lol
It got corrected few days back
good to see you here mr. weather
"GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution." looks like a typo. Rules authors should have to post collateral that they lose if a clarifying change is made to the rules. Sloppy, predatory, not what this site wants.
June 30, 2026$192K Vol.