Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

I believe in this market

Be careful guys, UMA token Holders will dispute to YES😂

Money on the floor lol

Yes, they agreed!

Yay, soon!

Bros just love their guns

Consensus overconfident on prevailing view.

"Hamas refuses to discuss disarmament until Israel fulfils obligations under first phase of Trump's Gaza plan"

"Hamas leaders have consistently expressed disinterest in disarmament unless it follows the establishment of a Palestinian state."

What a joke of a contract. Hamas already agreed to disarm, under the ceasefire deal they already signed. "Explicit Language: Clause 13 of the signed plan states that "all military, terror, and offensive infrastructure, including tunnels and weapon production facilities, will be destroyed" and that weapons will be "permanently removed" under independent monitors." All of the wagers should be resolved to Yes. Whether Hamas actually disarms or walks back on it's word, is a completely different thing

Clause 13 (The Disarmament Clause): This section explicitly requires the "decommissioning of all military and terror infrastructure." It lists rockets, mortars, and tunnel networks as items that must be surrendered or destroyed under the supervision of the International Stabilization Force (ISF). Phase Two Requirements: The deal is structured so that the permanent ceasefire and the total withdrawal of Israeli troops are legally contingent on the "demilitarization of the Gaza Strip." On paper, Phase Two cannot be completed if Hamas remains an armed entity. The Bottom Line: Does the paper say they must disarm? Yes. Did Hamas sign that paper? Yes. Is there any "verbal only" excuse? No, the text is clear.

they dont have any bargaining chips. the ISF and BoP has a UN mandate. ultimately they have no choice or they'd anger the countries that signed the BoP

Hamas disarmament could begin as early as March 2026, [link removed]

"Speaking at Al Jazeera Forum, Khaled Meshaal describes discussion around Hamas handing over weapons as a continuation of a long effort to neutralise Palestinian armed resistance."

AXIOS: Hamas ready to relinquish all heavy weapons. Under this market’s rules, that qualifies as a YES

Weapons will be taken into custody by a 3rd party nation, likely Qatar

Same announcement has happened before. F24 on 06/12/2025. Does not qualify as YES unless it is "part of an acknowledged disarmament process".

You must be new here

You must be new. Read the terms: "statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered."

I sold at a 120%+ profit over 2 weeks ago. What do you want, idiot?

if they are eradicated that means yes loses ?

If Hamas agreed to disarm, I’ll give my mom for free

OK

Read the rules and read the news. I bailed for that reason.

I'd rather pay the 50 dollars

Very fine trolling

me too. If they wanted to surrender, they would have done it long ago. And for Iran... Its the same mind so, feel free to buy against peace, you will make all the money you have to invest

What happened here?

Oh looks like someone made a big market order and blew through the order book

Arab Officials Say Trump Must Push Israel on Gaza Withdrawal to Secure Hamas' Disarmament

Rights come from guns

Unfortunately the jews are not genocidal like Hamas. If they were, there wouldnt be any gaza-/westbvankscumterrorists anymore.

So don't expect them to lay down their arms; the ceasefire brokered by Trump is just a chance for them to breath, not to surrender

Hamas refuses disarmament in 2025 talks, citing Israeli aggression as primary obstacle.