PoliticsMarkets
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time84%
20-30 years6%
<5 years2%
10-20 years2%
$1,073,351 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
No Prison Time$375K Vol.84%
1%
20-30 years$213K Vol.6%
<5 years$140K Vol.2%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Shouldn’t this resolve since there was a mistrial already? “If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
2 actually
A mistrial carries a large sentence. 20 plus years, some say. Worse than a conviction. Trolling.
not this time guys
[link removed] declares another mistrial in Harvey Weinstein New York rape case
Why is "no" going down?
It really wants the role in Ted 3.
😭
Crazy!
reality
he deserves none..
What was the first sentence he got? There was a trial already right?
Why does this say it was resolved 89 days ago?
who is this guy
oof nice pump!!
yes
What if the court sentence him to X years in prison but also credits time already served?
harvey wein-STEIN will never go to prison
Lol.. He's already IN prison. Rikers Island
same
Illiquid markets like these are what happens when the epoch rewards are set too low.
Remake this market with negrisk and No sentencing in 2025?
then again if he gets epsteined it resolves to no prison time so can;t be too confident
Harvey winestain will get 23 years again
The first trial he got 23 years. That one was overturned for procedural issues with the trial. Reckon he will most definitely be found guilty again and the sentence will be broadly similar