Amal Movement (Amal)$60K Vol.
Lebanese Forces (LF)$161K Vol.
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)$77K Vol.Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
my bio
This looks like the absolute dumbest market I've ever come across.
Market will resolve to ‘Other’ if results are not known by October 31 2026. (There’s no option that resolves as other). And we all know elections are postponed 2 years. This is a scam market guys hrebo
Others means all the no’s brother
the elections will be postponed till 2028
What happens if elections are POSTPONED until after October 31? According to the rules as they are written now, the market should resolve to "other". But that option is not even available to buy. So where would all the money go?
where do u even see rules, i cant find them
'If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"' The link appears right under the listing, at least in my chrome browser running under windows. I noticed that on my android device, it doesn't seem to show. I would like to trade in this one, but not before there is a clear answer to this question.
Saad Hariri's Future Party (Mustaqbal) should be added to the market. He has announced they will be participating in the elections and they are historically the most relevant sunni party.
i dont think they got any idea how lebanese elections are ran fr
this is probably about who gets the most amount of seats, could be about who gains/loses. no idea, we need some clarification
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Taqaddom Party$7K Vol.
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)$6K Vol.
Watani Alliance (Watani)$6K Vol.
Hezbollah (Hezb)$49K Vol.
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)$5K Vol.
Marada Movement (MM)$5K Vol.
Islamic Group (IG)$5K Vol.
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)$8K Vol.
Khatt Ahmar$4K Vol.
National Dialogue Party (NDP)$43K Vol.
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)$49K Vol.
Independence Movement (IM)$4K Vol.
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)$5K Vol.
National Liberal Party (NLP)$6K Vol.
Mada Party (Mada)$25K Vol.
Dignity Movement (DM)$24K Vol.
ReLebanon$6K Vol.