This market will resolve to "Yes" if India commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Pakistan between April 23 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by India or Pakistan as of April 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by India, Pakistan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
India just announced war mock drills in states along the border.
And it's postponed for, idk how long.
ggs man
I cant believe I sold my No...
What constitutes as an invasion though? Will drone strikes like May 9th be counted? Or will it have to be air space infiltration by jets or surgical strikes on land like 2016 and 2019? Or will it be something else?
This market existed on May 9.
No, I meant this bet resolves to Yes if India launches a military offensive with the intention to overtake Pakistani controlled land. But which country has ever declared their intention beforehand? It usually starts with drone strikes and airspace invasion nowadays, then military invasion. But even then if the intention is to accept land can't be verified. So this bet still stands ambiguous, mapping intentions and not specific actions as it should.
Historically India have never invaded any other country to acquire it's land, if this happens it will be really historic moment for India.
Guys it’s India vs Pakistan. They hate each other more than anything. Obviously there will be some sort of “ invasion “. Doesn’t matter how big or how small.
Hes alive!
these shares will rise...
Bro shhh
but you buy in 10c, not a really good price
yeahhh that was a mistake, i genuinely thought that it would rise soon after lmao. and it did to 16c, but went right down after
Balochistan has declared independence from Pakistan, has asked india to support them and said they support indias claim to Kashmir.
Yes will never win cashout whenever you feel like
[link removed] - The times of Inda (~4h ago)
"While all cross-border military action has come to a halt after 5 pm on May, Operation Sindoor is still underway in the sense that the armed forces remain in full operational readiness to take care of any contingency. Every move of Pakistan is being watched closely," an official said.
"The review meeting follows an agreement between India and Pakistan's military heads to refrain from aggressive actions along the Line of Control and international borders. This indicates a temporary pause, but not an end to potential conflict."
"Rajnath Singh, India's Defence Minister, reviewed security along the western front with Pakistan, emphasizing the need for heightened vigilance" (All information derived from the article)
its negotiation tactics
War, war never changes
Fallout reference detected
india has dropped the odd bomb or two on Pakista in retaliation for terrorist attacks in Kashmir several times over the last decade. quiet diplomatic intervention calms everyone down. it's usually like Page 5 news, but the only reason it went this far is cos, well, Trump didn't realize it was even happenning till it stopped being Page 5 news. I am betting against the old man's attention span
🤔🤔
The prime minister of the saars is having a conference now, he is felting Pakistan, I can't speak Saar but maybe he's saying something important here
I really would like to understand how someone does buy YES for 10 cents. Genuinely, would like to understand the rational, cause this sounds absurd.
What if Pakistan and India decide to bomb each other within the next week, remember that the ceasefire has already been broken. What if in the next 5 weeks India announces its gearing up.
Even if this is pure speculation, either way if my 10c position rises 15 to 20 percent , I’ll exit
I did it yesterday just before it crashed to 4 lol. I was holding off to get oit back at ten but only hit 8 I missed that so I sold at 6. Haha Thay what your supposed to do right buy high sell low?
If your deducted to this market then when it goes down to .5 cents buy more it will offset your first purchase and get you a lot more shares. That way you don’t need to wait for a 15-20 sell off you can make money at 6. The market is a long one so it can bounce back but it might never get to 20. if buy a butt load at .5 and it makes it to 12 you outperformed buying at 10 and settling to 100
Yeah, this market is super volatile. I've already made a few profitable exits. And yes, when the price drops to 5 to 4 cents, I'll buy more depending on expiration, but I don't really need to. I know something will happen in a week or so
Because I know countries don’t drop bombs and kill, then just stop fighting. There have already been casualties on both sides. If one country stands down, they look weak, and it will reflect on their political and cultural identity, and most importantly, religion. The fighting between Hindus and Muslims has been going on for a long time. Several minor invasions have already happened, and only now has it escalated this far to the point where we’re deploying missiles
when you buy a bond, that pays 5% , your capital is nearly guaranteed , but you only make 5%, but unlikely you wake up with no money. no buyers is what is strange, your only getting a small 10%, but at any moment your money can be all gone from an invasion or 30-40 gone from a near invasion. With yes, we can wait for a raise and sell. or make 10x , so risk is compensated.
War's over. See you at 99c no.
praying for a second Chernobyl
save me
sziasztok
Cant believe I sold my No and switched :/ boneheaded move
Nah you did right. India is gonna take action right now. We have clearly posted 4k evidence about how we have destroyed their bases. Obviously pakistanis are spreading fake news on tik tok because it's banned on India. Today the generals said that Pakistan will get the treatment they need. We are gonna take our kashmir back
If not for all the fake or old news this market will already be at 99c for "No". People need to start picking their news outlets wisely.