Above 4.5%$75K Vol.
Above 5%$254K Vol.
Above 6%$53K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If I wouldn't have a wife, I would spend all my money on 4,5 and 5% options, too good to be true...
Its a good trade but always manage your risk
Hot job data today. Sell crypto, buy toilet paper. Your butt will thank me in October when TP will be more valuable than gold in the US.
ICYMI: more AWFUL news. Import prices crushed (2x) the forecast, and bond yields are skyrocketing. Forget this bet, consider selling crypto/bitcoin and stocking up on toilet paper.
The PPI read today was AWFUL. PPI anticipates CPI when inflation is driven by commodities (like oil) and supply chain issues.
Do you guys think if the energy prices stay high for 2-3 more months, can it hit 6%?
OECD says 4.2% average, which would suggest at least one month has to pop above 5%. [link removed]
OECD says 4.2% average, which means you would have some months in 5.5% range at least. This report was done in April 2026, when Hormuz was only closed 3-4 weeks. [link removed]
Well, then let the inflation begin:D
kick rocks MKIsabella
Guys! a hypothetical question: if Apr CPI were 3.5%, it would not be counted as above 3.5%?
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports." Rule set seems clear to me. 3.5 Exactly is not enough, needs to be 3.6.
thx man
Oil futures just fell by 20 dollars due to Iran agreeing to the ceasefire, which would flatten out the inflation in the future
Dw. The ceasefire gonna work out just fine.
Feb was 2.4%?
%Bond market:Epstein client list released by June 30?
iran state is temporarily. inflation will drop like a rock, we're headed for recession
temporarily what?
they will drag US for long war
nah. delta force will finish it quick. iran situation will end in march
Didn’t age well
How's this going Mr Delta force 🤣🤣
be patient
just wait few weeks
waited. what's next
Still waiting
Chatgpt says the inflation is 3.5 procent now in 2026? Do i miss something?
That Strait of Hormuz being fucked with is going to mess shit up bad.
Don't they just manipulate this data? I'm still taking some bets on 3% inflation but yeah... they probably just screw me the entire year by changing around PCE metrics
Why did 3% drop so much what is happening
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Above 10%$48K Vol.
Above 8%$39K Vol.