GeopoliticsMarkets

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

$50,331 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Yes$50K Vol.

RulesMarket Context

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law. Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline. The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify. Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Holders

yzzkhantPapermarket19d ago

1000% impossible. I personally know with IRAN leaders and I know their mindset.

0xD3Ee8987cA687512609749E6E44AE8c4dAcB9883-1775143682824Papermarket21d ago

I guess this is possible after a dramatic regime change - which at about $0.024 is priced right.

yzzkhantPapermarket29d ago

If this possible, I'll cut my di**.

iusedtowritepoetryforalivingPapermarket54d ago

Bullish

rontro28Papermarket36d ago

I have a lefty friend at university. She is quite knowledgeable about the middle east and she told me Hamas and Iran are actually quite good to LGBTQI+ people. They regularly let hem enjoy the view from the top of multi-storey buildings for the entire rest of their lifes.