This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between June 12 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
TRUMP ANNOUNCED CEASEFIRE
"JUST IN - U.S. Embassy in Qatar suddenly urges American citizens to "shelter in place" until further notice."
Real question is if they actually bomb a tanker
They’d much rather do it in their own maritime territory but guess we’ll see.
Looks like they'll close the Strait: [link removed]
osint613 is a retard parotting IDF statements, not reliable for objective IR info
No need to get emotional. This is even a sign to Iran to not do that and they WILL obey. they are afraid as hell
USA just keeps sending more and more troops to the region. Iran knows that the most precious thing to the US is oil and harming the Gulf oil will make oil much more expensive, and so Iran will get hit hard by the US if done anything.
With all the reinforcements USA have brought up in the area, Iran will not DATE to fire
"It appears that the fires seen off the coast of Iran in the Gulf of Oman may have been caused by the collision of two oil tankers, the Antigua Barbuda-flagged ADALYNN and the Liberian-flagged FRONT EAGLE. Though ship tracking suggests this likely happened over three hours ago, which does not explain why there had been no reports until the picture showing the fires and the statement by Ambrey." [link removed]
guys im so confused, two ships are burning in the maritime territory (probably attacked by iran)... does that count? It's not technically a "oil facility", it's also not technically owned by the Gulf countries but also it's "infrastructure located in the martime territory"...
Relax...probably they are not attacked by Iran
looks like it was a collision
The refinery in Haifa was just hit
Haifa is not connected to this. It is not in the Gulf.
This market is underrated
Agreed