GeopoliticsMarkets

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

December 3134%

June 302%

December 31<1%

October 31<1%

$630,809 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

December 31$43K Vol.

34%

June 30$111K Vol.

RulesMarket Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Holders

12beduinsPapermarket20d ago

Isnt it ironic that the Jews became Nazis? A lil bit ironic?

12beduinsPapermarket20d ago

Google Earth updated its satellite imagery of the southern Gaza Strip, revealing the scale of devastation as a result of the Israeli invasion, genocide, and ethnic cleansing. All of Rafah City and most of Khan Younis has been flattened. Also visible in the new images is the massive tent cities housing displaced Palestinians.

CadricPapermarket158d ago

I don't think we see a 'massive' new offensive in January because the winter weather makes ground maneuvers a nightmare

0x159419Cc751d26a2C60f8c6E11685FC4210d1766-1771189166437Papermarket85d ago

still cheap

TerrificallyPapermarket85d ago

WHAT WINTER? we dont have it here

0xc465196a542a004831613d67C1cba946533168Ae-1760560486983Papermarket227d ago

The Hamas terrorist organization killed an Israeli soldier today, violating the ceasefire and also failing to comply with the agreement to release the bodies of the kidnapped.