This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate before Iran initiates a qualifying strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate. This market will resolve to "Iran" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate before Israel initiates a qualifying strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate. If neither party initiates a qualifying strike by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve based on who struck first), and that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient to qualify regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify. Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Timing will be assessed based on the earliest verifiable time of impact.
Iran
why the smart money going to iran, i dont understand??
how low IQ can you be to bet on iran to break it .. fr
true
Or will it be Side B: who make great efforts to convince the rest of the world that they're not expansionist warmongers
you think it will be iran as even if its isreal theyd try cover it up ?
Israel are pretty good at covering things up so thats a good bet
Side A: whose official national policy is the total destruction of side B
Who will break the ceasefire first:
nothing happens = 50-50 !!!
chud maxxing
IF NOTHING HAPPENS = 50-50 DONT FORGET THAT AND BUY CHEAP IRAN
+
Iran will Strike first Israel, proof : "The Civil Aviation Authority of Islamic Republic of Iran has announced the closure of its airspace over Western and Central Iran through at least Friday, with a majority of international and domestic flights having been canceled at both Imam Khomeini International Airport and Mehrabad International Airport in the capital of Tehran." Source : [link removed]
Breaking news: Iran prepping missiles after U.S strike on Tehran!
if no one attack i get exactly what i bet on? or its getting rounded to 50%??
You get 50%
50c per share or 50% or my initial shares cost?
Per share
Irans air defense systems activated
Breaking: Iran reportedly mobilizes missile forces in response to threats from Israel following the partial destruction of Fordow. Tensions escalate as preventive measures are considered to protect nuclear facilities
Here is my prediction: whoever strikes first will blame the other for striking first, and this market will yoyo until UMA arbitrarily decides which is which. Meaning a market for Car, but not for me.
Alerts activated in Haifa
Where u see that and for what?
betting on Israel is antisemitic!
You can resolve to YES, Iran attacked with 2 Drone, ALERT: The Air Force intercepted two unmanned aerial vehicles earlier this evening that were heading toward the country's territory, likely from Iran. The interceptions were carried out outside the country's territory. Alerts were activated in open areas in accordance with policy. - Source : Israel Air Force. Link : [link removed]
With all due respect, learn how to read.
Iran’s foreign minister says the Nuclear Program will continue.
ALERT: The Air Force intercepted two unmanned aerial vehicles earlier this evening that were heading toward the country's territory, likely from Iran. The interceptions were carried out outside the country's territory. Alerts were activated in open areas in accordance with policy. - Source : Israel Air Force. Link : [link removed]
You can resolve now.
read the rules tard
Didn't see you play with the 10$ your mama gave you.
you're on an alt account spreading misinformation, stay quiet jew
ok kid