This market will resolve to "Yes" if, if by June 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
i think greta ship was raided already.
Last I heard, she had left the sailboat for a motor catamaran and should arrive in Gaza in less than two hours.
You forgot to mention that the catamaran is also coincidentally called Madleen.
Why did she forsake the Gazans?
Si
This post was powered by pure vibes and gut instinct. If it saved you from fading the top, feed the gambler gods.
The wind is favorable, at a speed of 5.6 knots (10.4 km/h), she’ll cover around 416+ km in 40+ hours left. As far as I remember, the previous helicopter drop-off was over 80 km from Gaza, so the chances are good.
Madleen changes course to respond to migrant distress call
Source?
There are 12 wokes and 4 Sudanese refugees on the boat. I guess they're not going to be as efficient as they could be. Source: [link removed]
it's everywhere on the news. They are now trying to get the refugees to greece.
Madleen had taken a 2-hour detour to respond to the distress, so only 2 hours
The last time I checked they were heading to Greece and not Gaza. But the live tracker is not working anymore.
Confirmed. Heading to Crete island.
Basically confirmed. Insane price for yes
500km loll it can not
Yes is the best option but put a small amount and hope
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Bro what day is it in usa now?
Put her in jail!
hmm, i may have fat fingered that
The people betting on "No", please explain to me what the hell do you think is going to happen?
They will not board the ship because Greta will prevent it and pull out her gun. The market only resolves Yes if she is captured. If you swap Greta Thunberg's initials, you get Threta Gunberg. She is a threat and she has a gun
You should check out numerology because a lot of markets make more sense when you swap letters and look up the meanings of numbers
I do not have a bet here, but openAI tells me that this sailing vessel is unlikely to reach the Gaza exclusion zone before the 7th at best. The market cuts off at June 6 11.59PM. Looks like it has been handicapped from scratch IMHO.
Crayon guy is right, Greta is strapped, no one is boarding that ship
Ahh, I missed the date thing. Makes sense!
Only 5%?????
crazy
get scammed
I’ll never financially recover if i lose this 10$
this friday
Basically the problem is she is going way too slow to reach Israel in time for her to be intercepted
I see, i read she was supposed to arrive the 7th
The market lasts until June 6th, she is supposed to arrive June 7th but at her pace she is arriving June 8th
perhaps Israeli authorities will go out to the open sea to get her before she reaches there lol
And what if she changes to a speed boat midway, would that count as Greta Thunberg's ship?
they can't do that in international water, needs to be in proximity to the gaza strip for them to have authority there
I like this bet
👀
The lion rapes the small greta
LOL