Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?

“ Peacekeeping and other security operations will qualify even they don't involve combat operations.”. They supplied military equipment. That’s considered yes

this market is about IDF soldiers in Suwayda. I get it sound ridiculous now but it was a serious possibility when this market was created. This is not happening.

[link removed]

Another Israeli helicopter landing in Suwayda

Car thinks he's the fastest and smartest again 🫤

Another pack of helicopters landing with humanitarian aid... You guys fall for it again to fill Little Car's orders, lol.

Yes, seems like Israel dispatched a few helicopter to deliver humanitarian aid to Suwayda. Will it qualify for "Only operations involving troops on the ground within Suwayda Governorate will count"? No. It's an aerial operation at most. IDF soldiers have no tasks over there - neither defensive, nor offensive.

The key word is "Only", it means that the condition has to be met. But even if it's hypothetically met, still other conditions like "For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered." has to be met also.

Even if there is somehow video evidence of IDF helicopters landing on the ground or a strong media consensus, then it is an aerial operation. "For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered."

And I know people will try to counterreply with "Only operations involving troops on the ground within Suwayda Governorate will count.", but the key word is "Only", in that context it means both sentences have to be true.

Car is getting old

my irl name is Gilbert, roast me

be kind and let me sell

multiple Israeli helicopters landed in As-Suwayda: [link removed] [link removed] [link removed]

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.

Report: Israeli black hawk choppers landed in Suwayda

send the report link

Maybe now?

[link removed] First part of the convoy is there. Even if there are some IDF soldiers there, which doesn't seem to be the case, then it's not a military operation. It is organized and executed by the Red Crescent, which obliges by the Oslo Guidelines, which state "A humanitarian operation using military assets must retain its civilian nature and character."

hm, could be the case, it's not 100% clear for me either

Guys, I'm 99% sure that Deniz doesn't believe that this will happen, he bought "yes" cheaply in order to sell it more expensively due to some kind of panic because of a fake, he was just unlucky yesterday and at the moment when it happened he was sleeping and had a dream in which a ceasefire was reached on July 31

No but he's dropping comments and locking everyone's money longer than it needs to be in this market

Putting my denizz response up top: Alright, in lieu of your 300k+ P&L I'll punch out a proper response. Let's assume Israel decides to deliver 10k more packages of aid to the Druze in the next 10 days, which we are not sure they need to or will, but let's assume. How would they choose do it? 1. Chuck them over the fence in Golan where Druze forces can pick them up like they did in March or better yet, airdrop them. 2. Expose IDF regulars (not just IDF Druze and irregulars because there aren't enough) by driving a military convoy 60-80 kms deep into Syria where Bedouin militias, HTF splinter groups and who knows which other baddies are roaming free. And unlike in March this time they know that it was Israel who blew up their buddies from the air. Let's say for whatever reason they decide to go with 2 and present the plan to Bibi. What would he choose to do? 1. Do it and pretend it didn't happen 2. Do it and admit to doing it when Syria, UN, EU, US, joint Turkey-Egypt-Jordan-GCC statement (btw this is the first time they have done this) has reminded them of the importance of "respecting Syria’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, security, unity, and stability". I dunno man, just seems highly unlikely they'll do it.

I don't get what is the fuss about. First of all there was already aid sent by Israel to Druze in March 2025 and no Israeli troops were on the ground. If this time a helicopter delivers the aid, it's clearly an aerial operation.

And also if the operation is planned by the Health Ministry and not the military, it's not a military operation even if some military personnel are involved.

Correct. There's no way Israel is going to send troops AND acknowledge it, especially after the Turkey-Arab statement.

Degens hoping for a 5x return

I think there is some chance they could do it and acknowledge it, but then it will still not be a military operation. Because it would have to be planned and executed by the military which seems very unlikely.

Are you talking about aid? There's no reason it will be different from the March operation when they literally chucked pallets over the border which Druze groups picked up. There was no military escort

"if Israeli military personnel physically enter Suwayda Governorate in Syria for *military* operations". Aid will not sway UMA. [link removed]

Alright, in lieu of your 300k+ P&L I'll punch out a proper response. Let's assume Israel decides to deliver 10k more packages of aid to the Druze in the next 10 days, which we are not sure they need to or will, but let's assume. How would they choose do it? 1. Chuck them over the fence in Golan where Druze forces can pick them up like they did in March or better yet, airdrop them. 2. Expose IDF regulars (not just IDF Druze and irregulars because there aren't enough) by driving a military convoy 60-80 kms deep into Syria where Bedouin militias, HTF splinter groups and who knows which other baddies are roaming free. And unlike in March this time they know that it was Israel who blew up their buddies from the air. Let's say for whatever reason they decide to go with 2 and present the plan to Bibi. What would he choose to do? 1. Do it and pretend it didn't happen 2. Do it and admit to doing it when Syria, UN, EU, US, joint Turkey-Egypt-Jordan-GCC statement (btw this is the first time they have done this) has reminded them of the importance of "respecting Syria’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, security, unity, and stability". I dunno man, just seems highly unlikely they'll do it.

Yes, the long post is quite on point. And I would say that even if these unlikely scenarios happen, then I think it's still not a military operation unless it's organized by the military. If a Ministry of Health organizes and executes it, it's not a military operation even if there are some troops protecting the convoy.

[link removed] "A humanitarian operation using military assets must retain its civilian nature and character. While military assets will remain under military control, the operation as a whole, must remain under the overall authority and control of the responsible humanitarian organization with the overall control and authority of the Humanitarian Coordinator."

Well we'll see if such aid distribution really happens, and what kind of statements and media reports will be there. But I doubt that it will be organized and executed by the military. Of course for now it's just a hypothetical scenario anyway.

I saw a video, thay are literly on the way right now

There won't be any link. Sit tight, bro. It's hard to buy at 40 and sell at 20, but shit happens. 🫨

[link removed]

[link removed]

That's a Druze flag you idiot. Even if it was an Israeli flag it means nothing.

This is a Druze flag flying on an IDF vehicle, inside which are Israeli Druze soldiers wearing uniforms. Many Israeli Druze serve in the IDF.

Sure. And Bibi is driving it himself. And Jolani is riding shotgun. And they're kissing. None of which we can see.

Again some stupid fake

The Reuters article says nothing about the troops.

You never how what's about to come.

BREAKING: Israel tells the US it intends to intervene in southern Syria, citing the growing atrocities.

Fake news?