This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins every swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Why is this not resolved yet?
someone needs to resolve it, hit show more and then propose resolution
Why is the market not resolved yet? Apart from NV & AZ all Swing States have been called.
someone needs to resolve it
All three called Georgia
AP called Georgia
Yep
nice win
AP, Fox News and NBC have called NC for Trump
its not one of the swing states
This is my first bet win here, how this works, when this resolved NO, will the winning amount credited in cash to withdraw?
once it turns NO your shares will be worth 1$ each then you hit portfolio and you claim them
got it, thank you.
I really appreciate the donations
Same
Thank you for everyone saying Yes
let;s go
Give me your money retards. Don't worry, I'll be at your next maga scam to drain you dry there too. And I'm investing every cent into communism.
Says the guy who has lost $14K on Polymarket lol
Yes, I keep losing. You should buy more.
look at your profile bud
I really hope you are just a Harris member that was given money to waste on odds to make her look better
and not actually a real person believing that she would hit this
Kamala winning Iowa is 14%, she needs over 8 point swing vs 2020 (or "solid red state" is about 20%). Kamala winning 6 swings is 10-12%, she needs 0 point swing. Hmmm. Feels like if Kamala wins Iowa, she's going to sweep the swings no, seems a bit weird...
Yeah, this market keeps dipping to ridiculously low prices. I can't believe the number of times I've seen people by no at 88-90. Yes should be over 20 because the only state that's really an unknown is Arizona, but they also have abortion on the ballot and that gets the libs and independents to turnout in big numbers.
yup, all the polls say 2024 looks a lot like 2020...and yet we're at 12% for Kamala to simply hold Biden's map. But because of one poll ppl happy to believe 14% chance of Blue Iowa. Selzer poll is great, but tbh should help this market more than the Iowa market imho. Gamblers should be buying at 12%, 8x your money if Kamala holds Biden's map
although I have hedged by backing Trump to win Iowa :) if one or the other happen still make small profit. If Kamala wins Iowa but loses a swing, lose bigly. If she wins 6 swings but loses Iowa, win bigly
[link removed] Even Kansas is within 5%. This looks like it could be a 1996 style blowout. How is this market not stabilizing above 20%?
this market is priced less than a "kamala blowout" and that outcome is less likely mathematically. I totally agree with you.
LFG!
Michigan is holding back the exact opposite
Harris has pulled several points ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. A hurricane ravaged a bunch of red districts in western North Carolina. Georgia has already had 80% voter turnout from 2020 numbers with women voting in significantly higher numbers than men. Arizona and Nevada both have abortion on the ballot. On top of all that Republican senators in Nebraska, Florida, and Texas are panicking because they are neck and neck with their counterparts. Yes in this market is WAY undervalued!
Yes looks like a good wager.
Why if I buy NO (87c) I'm getting less? :))
Probably Not.
This was easily one of the most poorly priced markets on the site at 9 cents.
Poorly priced at anything lower than Trump's swing state market. Harris has a way better chance of cleaning up than Trump.
So amazing to read these comments...
fuck, i broke it
LOL
Yes, we see it)
lol
buy more pls
you will for sure but not today on 5th Nov 😵
sure, but only if you buy to me
https://polymarket.com/event/republicans-flip-a-2020-biden-state/republicans-flip-a-2020-biden-state You can get a better price on that market then here @achickendinner
not enough liquidity
There's 17k shares at .14, you should buy that if you picked up .16 here
It's the exact same states
Looking for volume.