This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris announces that she publicly supports a tax on unrealized gains by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will only resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris explicitly states her support of having a tax on unrealized gains. If the proposed tax is only for certain individuals (i.e. high net worth individuals), this market will still resolve to "Yes." If Harris broadly states she agrees with Biden's policy proposals, and one of Biden's policy proposals is to tax unrealized gains, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - she must explicitly support the specific proposal. This market will only resolve based on official announcements by Kamala Harris and/or her representatives. These announcements must occur after this market's creation date (August 20).
Someone fill me. I am giving away dollars at 99.5 cents
Why is this disputed? She supports unrealized capital gains tax.
lol
Free money glitch
it is done boys: [link removed]
Bond sellers really think she’s gonna say this after wall street grilled her for it the first time
So if she says it but crosses her fingers that don't count either
My understanding is It would count! But if she said it jokingly, A joke would not be her stating her explicit support.
Lol 50-pence just put another 11k
Im never copytrading 50pence again. Im from now on copy trading Apsalar
I'll start copytrading you
Just go on polysharks if you want to copytrad
Im in simply because 30c is too cheap and the deadline is 4th of November. 1 month is enough (especially we are talking about Harris who never commit to anything) for it to go back to like, i dunno 50c or something, and then im out. Best of luck
also 50-pence, aenews, and car is in here lol
Waiting for 50p to pump yes more so I can get back into No lol
Lol she isn’t going to mention this policy after it’s been criticized so thoroughly by everyone, esp. wall st dem donors
50PENCE IN SHAMBLES AS NEW CONTEXT DROPS
Congrats!
thanks for the dono 50p, karma for trying to rug.
Wow that was the Yes holders entire argument? I was so scared 50P had like some secret Kamala video or something lol. I feel so much more comfortable
Basically to be a yes holder you either have to A) buy right wing claims that moderate centrists are radical leftists or B) Be a radical leftist who actually still believes it when the centrist moderate party pretends to listen to them.
Yes holders at picking at straws, stringing together circumstantial evidence from various parties. The whole point of this market is definitive explicit support expressed by Kamala Harris and that just hasn’t happened yet.
[link removed] The co-chair of her campaign publicly says that it's part of campaign's proposals to have the tax on unrealized capital gains. This is pretty official to me, and the rules allow for statements from her representatives.
Just add this with Harris's own tweets on supporting the billionaire minimum tax, which is the same thing, and the case for No really falls apart - I really believe that, independently of my shares. I had No shares yesterday, but I read more into the topic, and changed my mind.
A Possible proposal such as "One of the proposals of the campaign" does not mean Kamala officially supports unrealized capital gains. The question is about Kamala. The above rule is that she must explicitly support the specific proposal
The reason the reps are being asked about it is because Harris said in numerous places that she supports the billionaire minimum tax, which is the unrealized capital gain tax.
The above market rule for her representatives is that it has to be an official announcement and explicit
Here's another one: [link removed] For me, this is explicit enough. They are clarifying what they're supporting. It's Harris's official Twitter account.
this isn't even implicit support, as pointed out earlier (since it doesnt say that kamala actually supports what trump is accusing her of). *By definition* it is not **explicit** support. Time to wake up and dump your shares bro
If this is the best evidence for Yes you guys are in trouble
That seems compelling to me, personally
Only in combination with Harris tweeting that she supports the "billionaire minimum tax."
Please, widely reported that kamalahq is managed by a bunch of 25 and under gen z social media creators and is in no way a real representative of Kamala’s platform or policies
it's not an "official announcement" by KamalaHQ that she supports tax on unrealized gains. more like an unofficial implicit announcement in response to Donald
The rule for her representatives is that it has to be an official announcement
market resolution requires **explicit** support, and the harris campaign (probably intentionally) never done this. all arguments for the Yes side rely on mental gymnastics and or implicit statements made by the campaign. The discord discussion is worth seeing for those interested: [link removed]
Explicit support but more importantly for her reprentatives it requires an official announcement
Her official channel clarified that Harris's tax on unrealized capital gains would apply only to people with "with at least $100 million in wealth." [link removed] So, let's go through this. 1. Harris says that she supports Biden's tax package, which includes a "billionaire minimum tax," which is administration's idea to tax unrealized capital gains of people with $100M in wealth. 2. Trump sees that and says that Harris idea to tax unrealized capital gains will kill small business owners. 3. Harris's official Twitter channel debunks Trump's statement by saying that the tax on unrealized capital gains "applies only to individuals with at least $100 million in wealth." 4. Harris explicitly says that she supports a "billionaire minimum tax" in both her policy document and on Twitter. That makes her support even more explicit.
if your analysis requires 4 steps (most of which do not follow from each other", then the support is clearly not explicit. the twitter post doesnt even say she supports it, (only that the thing trump is criticizing her for supporting applies to those with $100M or more, which does not imply that she supports it). in any case, it is not **explicit** support, which is what this market requires. there is absolutely no evidence, of any kind, that kamala harris or her campaign has **explicitly** supported a tax on unrealized gains. the campaign is clearly intentionally trying to avoid explicitly saying anything about this. therefore, the only logical conclusion is that she has not yet explicitly supported a tax on unrealized gains.
DIdn't think I owned any shares, but looks like I have 500 shares of No. I think its No (so far) tbh.
fuck it. not touching this market