December 31, 2026$30K Vol.This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
sam altman responded to one of my x posts saying its def coming out, I think specifically to fuck me after I bought No
sam altman responded to one of my x posts saying its def coming out, I think specifically to fuck me after I bought No
confirmed pushed to 2027, likely cancelled
It will be released a month or two before Christmas, almost certainly.
Wired: OpenAI will not use the Jony Ive "io" branding for any of the company's hardware devices, VP Peter Welinder said in a court filing Monday. Welinder says OpenAI's first device won't ship til at least March 2027. The company has yet to make any ads or packaging around it.
Gemini and Apple are releasing devices this year. OpenAI cannot afford to let them get all the market share, while sitting on their hands. Just not going to happen.
OpenAI aims to ship its first device in 2026, and it could be earbuds @ techcrunch
"on track to unveil" in the "latter part of 2026" - Chris Lehane
Wtf? What happened? No liquidity?
I know...WTF. Why don't people like this market?
That photo bro 😭
I keep hearing rumors about an OpenAI device, but honestly I will believe a consumer hardware launch only when they actually unveil something real.
What does it mean to "launch" a device? Does the concept need to be finalized? Open to pre-orders? SHIP by the EOY? This is extremely vague..
I agree, they could announce it at CES in las vegas this month and ship it in December 26. Does this count as YES?
I agree...it is way too vague.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
What happened here?
Late 2026 or early 2027 according to The Information - " The devices won’t arrive tomorrow (or the day after that); the target launch window is late 2026 or early 2027 -- but the apparent trail for an Open AI-branded gadget is already telling."
What the coin relate this chance?
It's coming Late 2026: " In a widely cited report, the Journal revealed details from the internal staff meeting. They reported that Altman gave employees a preview of the device and its strategy. Crucially, the report mentioned that the goal is to ship the device by late 2026." -
Yeah, it's going to come for a while. This is from his latest interview with The Verge: "It’s going to take us a while, but I think you will think it is very worth the wait. I think it is incredible. You don’t get a new computing paradigm very often. There have been like only two in the last 50 years. So just let yourself be happy and surprised. It really is worth the wait."
Sam Altman: someday soon something smarter than the smartest person you know will be running on a device in your pocket, helping you with whatever you want. this is a very remarkable thing.
[link removed]
yes "soon" as in a year from now.
ur phone is a device
Does “launch” mean available to public?
What about AI toys? [link removed]
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