Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a FOMC introductory statement on September 18 in an event hosted by ABC News. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell wears a tie that is predominantly purple during his FOMC introductory statement on September 18, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the tie to be considered predominantly purple, its primary color must be a shade of purple, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. The primary resolution source will be video of the FOMC statement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fag
WTF
rip
powell the purple
Purple
lol
Gl bois
Brown or pink
Gray
blue
BLUE
Does blurple count
Is the hex value of that color fleventy five?
Red, because we crashin the economy, baby
I think this market would fit better with colors brackets instead of single color y/n
That's really funny for this bet. Maybe he cannot wear a tie :)))
Using Laplace's Rule of Succession: Laplace's Rule of Succession is a principle that estimates the probability of an event occurring again, given its past occurrences. The formula is: Estimated Probability = 𝑠 + 1 𝑛 + 2 Estimated Probability= n+2 s+1 Where: 𝑠 s = number of successful events (purple ties worn) 𝑛 n = total number of events (FOMC meetings) Plugging in the numbers: Estimated Probability = 11 + 1 12 + 2 = 12 14 ≈ 85.71 % Estimated Probability= 12+2 11+1 = 14 12 ≈85.71% Answer: There is approximately an 85.7% chance that he will wear a purple tie at the next FOMC meeting.
-$1,885.18 🥴
Only because I made a 2600$ misclik - lol
I missclicled too and had -900 usd P/L keep making good bets bro and youll get positive in no time!
Powell has worn purple ties at 11 of the past 12 FOMC meetings:
Red (Rep) + Blue (Dem) = purple ;)
Wow
:)
crazy part is theres an actual good chance he wears another color cause if you notice he wears purpple like 3 or 4 times in a row then he changes it !!! This is a good bet to take !!
I just watched all the Fed conferences. It looks very likely he's going to wear purple.