GeopoliticsMarkets
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$11,425,609 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Yes$11M Vol.5%
RulesMarket Context
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Reza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during the specified timeframe, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, exile leadership without effective authority inside Iran, nomination without effective authority, or ceremonial or transitional status without governing control will not qualify. If Iran experiences a period in which no individual exercises effective governing control, this will not alone qualify for a “Yes” resolution unless Reza Pahlavi subsequently meets the criteria above within the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
TSYBKA doesn't know how to predict anything. He just buys NO shares in hopes that nothing will happen. Anytime Schizo Tsybka bought YES shares he's always lost.
this is true
Money is money. No points for style.
@coldmath is running a weatherbot and is printing. From $500 to $140k
I don't know
"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?" market went to ZERO 🤣🤣 Every Yestard there is selling everything
Javid Shah
So help me god if I have to personally buy enough No shares to correct the price of this market I will.
based
Reza unfollows Trump and Bibi after the ceasefire agreement lol [link removed]
buy yes and thank me later
oops
lol lmao
The retardation required to hold yes here is at levels never before observed.
We'll see buddy
He is basically tying Lebron James in odds of leading Iran, the delusion here is crazy
i wish i could buy more of this
I need you to sit down when I tell you this. Alright you’re seated? Not only can you buy more, you can buy a LOT more.
REZA REZA REZA
THE REZA THE GZA AND THE OLD DIRTY BASTARD
Javid Shah! 👑❤️
As an Iranian, He's the only alternative that Iranians are calling for and are united under his command. Everything has been planned long ago ;)
as a non-iranian, i can guarantee you that iranians are fucking retarded
How much did it sting when your boy Khamenei died drenched in his piss thanks to Isreal?
Oh look, you’re here too. I think I saw you in New York in the middle of those ‘professional protesters’ who get paid to shout slogans. The funny part is, if you asked them to point out Iran on a map, they’d probably point somewhere near Denmark :))))))))))))))))))
I see that leftists, the dim-witted, and those who are funded by dictatorial and terroristic regimes are everywhere. These are the same people who live in the free world and use that freedom to promote their backward ideology, yet they do not want that same freedom to exist equally for all people around the world! :)
This aged like milk. Nobody in iran wants him
I'm Iranian, and I'm telling you the majarity of ppl not only want him as the transitional leader but also want him as the king of Iran after the referendum. If you ask any Iranian, they will tell you that majorly of ppl will vote to constitutional monarchy.
No
Pahlavists are cucked failure people who basically exist on vibes and try to skew the news in their favor while the W.H. and CIA privately despise them.
dumb phaggot bootlicker lol
no $7000 for you, BROKEY dumbfuck
This guy didnt even teach his own children farsi, what kind of an Iranian leader is that? Iranian monarchists are cuck losers who don't understand Iran's history, your main fucking arguments probably oh ya but they had mini skirts back then.
And why did they all appear in January of 2026 with flags? Where were they from 1979 to December of 2025?
This aged like milk
I confirm this jawid Shah👑
Probably not this year. Trump didn't endorse him explicitly, may push for a democracy or some sort of vote.
If you haven't understood by now that Trump doesn't give 2 ducks about democracy, you are helpless. Trump will endorse no one, he will simply recognize the winner once there is one, likely some kind of strongman.
And? You literally added zero relevant information to this event.
This guy is a fraud. No political experience nor no charisma.
Fuck that guy; I've got more charisma.
Then Get the fuck out bitch
Your expérience ?
He's the son of the OG sha he's been and in circles