This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kennedy from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kennedy does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This is a lawsuit
he only got out of a few states and told people to vote for him in certain states. he didn't drop out. what can be done?
How does this resolve to yes. Kennedy announced a suspension, not a withdrawal. He remains on all but 10 battle ground state presidential ballots.
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Someone post clear instructions on how to dispute please.
thank you polymarket
welcome to Polymarket!
Additional context Updated Aug 23 During his public address today, RFK Jr. announced that he was suspending his campaign and throwing his support behind President Trump. He stated that he is “joining the Trump campaign”, and that he “no longer believe[s] that [he has] a realistic path to electoral victory… ” Furthermore, a consensus of credible reporting states that he ended his presidential bid. Therefore, this market should resolve to “Yes.”
guess who was right faggots
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Can't be resolved to Yes while the odds are at around 64% yes right now. It wouldn't make any sense IMO that the resolution be ruled against more than 1/3 of stakeholders. A resolution is supposed to gather consensus.
Im with you man. Technically he only withdrew from a couple swing states like Arizona
Sometimes it’s difficult to build consensus around reality, especially true in recent years.
he made clear that he wasn’t formally ending his bid and said his supporters could continue to back him in the majority of states where they are unlikely to sway the outcome. It'll be interesting to see how this resolves considering the rules
I really don't think this market can resolve to yes while being at around 64% yes right now. It wouldn't make any sense. If there was a consensus towards yes, you would see the odds reaching 99% and more.
[link removed] Typically your wife tweets this out when you didn't drop out of the race
You people are ridiculous. I just spent the last 10 minutes selling most of my portfolio to more yes stock. Wishing my Schwab account was connected. If this resolves to no I’m done here
Same here. There are 7 more days before end of August - and by then I am confident that it will be very apparent that he has in fact withdrawn.
"I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and not - not ending it. I name - my name, will remain on the ballot in Most states. If you live in a blue state, you can vote for me, without harming or helping...I encourage you to vote for me, and if enough of you do vote for me and neither of the major party candidates win 270 votes, which is quite possible."
Candidates names will always stay on the ballot. He's not going to remove them from irrelevant states. He did remove them from all swing states
Said very clearly multiple times he suspended the campaign and is joining the trump campaign
he's only withdrawing from five states
All media report he dropped out endorsed Trump
If this resolves to NO it is a shame
how is this not a yes
The official document RFK signed mentions he is "withdrawing"
from the state of Arizona
No way this won't be resolved to YES, right!
The market right now basically gives you the perceived odds that it's going to resolve to yes