This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ross Ulbricht (Dread Pirate Roberts) sells any Bitcoin between January 21 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including on-chain data.
Sure he didn't sell
1. He sent his BTCs to an exchange that doesn't work with stablecoins. He can only deposit there, sell to USD, and withdraw to PayPal. 2. His main donation method isn't BTC, it's PayPal! 3. All the on-chain tracking is in the video below. 4. This market is staged; no one on the YES side has money to propose, and there is also very low liquidity
[link removed]
I am 100% sure he sold, but this website is not about the truth, but about how you can prove you are right... I will never put my energy into something staged like that again. There is zero evidence for NO, only the time limit helps the NO side. That's unfair."
Noone will dispute, there is no whales in Yes side, noone is stupid to risk 750usd since the yes is 2c. Lesson leaned, its not about the truth but how you can deal wirh those stupid rules, time limite and expensive bond.
You might be right. I personnaly think he sold em but you can't prove the identity of the seller on the exchange. But at the same time, nobody can prove he didn't sold his btc, this market is shit. I hope somebody could post that on discord or by doing a resolution.
Thanks and respect for using your time for theses researchs. If the proofs could identify the seller on the exchange I would put a bond on UMA for sure.
It could be a coincidence, i mean, if he sold 288K$ of bitcoin and payed only 1331 on fees, that's reaaally low for a first exchange transaction in a while
That emptness dude propose No and noone disputed that....the market just resolved NO because of that guy
This is the on-chain data that proves Ross sold his BTCs [link removed]
Thats the biggesr injustice we will se in polymarket, thats the proof he sold his donstions, what you guys want now? To track ross bank account ?
That exchange dont have USDC or any other stable coin. he sold the BTCs directly to fiat (USD), thats another hard proof, because tou csn only trade BTC to USD, not to any other crypto
Can someone explain to me why this is so heavily skewed to no? Is it because a lack of evidence will auto resolve to no?
I dont know, this market is staged.... Ross transfered all Bitcoin Donations to a exchange. His solanas donation he used to add liquiditu to Ross Fund (ross) coin. I tried to email Ross but no reply, he is enjoyong life, 12 years in jail he wont waste his time with social media. The purpose of the donations in Selling the coins to restart his life, why he transfered the self custody to a exchenge ? To sell it, but how to prove ? Exchanges cant reveal personal data, Ross wont say anything... 100% staged market
No keys not yours.... he already "sold" the coins to an exchange balance. But we know how this market works, it will resolved based on the higher side.
What kinda of proof polymarket is expecting ? We dont have acess to Binances transactions, nor Kraken's. He already sent all the money to an exchange for nothing ?
More respect dude..
if there is ever any proof that karma is read, have a look at the spanking @emptiness. just took in the palisades market. literally just blew 750 on fire market lol
karma is real
Onchain data : bc1qzrkdfpc4dxyyg6axvstft7sx8vhgverhvyv82y
[link removed]
[link removed]
You can mine the transaction on arkham [link removed] and see his money is on Binance
Ross posted a photo with his wife today, he is enjoyng life, using His donations..... obviusly he sold his bitcoins, he is supposed to use his donations
You dont deposit coins to hold on an exchange
140 usd makes the market fo from 3usd to 95.... this marker have zero liquidity
polymarket moment
If you put 2c buy all
No dude, you have the chance to buy cheap ans clean your negative in polymarket
With 100 usd tou can make your profit/loss positive, but if you want to donate free money go and put 5c
Due iam poor, i would put all my money (1k). But there is a whale on NO side, he can manipulate it
I alreadu put 10% of my money here, i dont put more than 10% of what i have in any market, i already put my max ammount
Why you quit dude ?
hard to prove, although still very likely that he sold
Yeah, i tryed to email him but its impossible he replies
Donations are to be used, i.e. donations in crypto sent to an exchange are with the intent to sell.
Yeah, but how to claim that? I dont knwo how this market works
Sending to a exchange = selling to a exhenge, if you have no keys, its not yours anymore.
Coin in a exchance = balance. He spwnt years in the jail, you have to be crazy if he just keeps the coins and do anything with that, he needs Fiat
ok McLawyer whatever you say.
His BTC donation wallet is a Kraken deposit address to begin with lol
Would be very hard to prove he actually sold his received BTC since it’s also likely he’s just holding his donated coins on the exchange
Sending to a exchange = selling. If we want to keep the coin, use the self-custody....
His wallet is [link removed] . He moved all coins today to exchange. Kraken donated money to him, but he moved most of the money to binance
bc1qzrkdfpc4dxyyg6axvstft7sx8vhgverhvyv82y
how can it be confirmed? even if he moves all his btc to a exchange and sells it all, how will we know unless Ross or the exchange tells us?
Would have to make the conclusion that sending to exchange means selling. Why else would you donated funds to an exchange if not with the intent to sell for fiat?
Someone need to be 100% stupid, its DONATION, he need to sell the bitcoins to Live. 10+ years in the jail, why he will keep those coins with him ? He need to rebuils his life, that the purpose of a donation, not to keep the coins forever
LOL
Bro just sent 270k to an exchange: [link removed]
Ross' donation wallet: [link removed]
Never ask why Ross is moving 270k worth of bitcoins first to another wallet and then to an exchange
list of ross wallets? he probably sold something, but noon can track it
Bet would also include his donation wallet w/ those terms
The bet here is if he remembers his keys or they were on his computer. I'd say his cold store keys are buried somewhere
Anyone knows his bitcoin address on chain?
[link removed]