This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period. A qualifying announcement must: The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement. The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made. The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
pupa itogy) bydi dobry)
Tick tock.
Things are ramping up, not winding down...
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how can russia propose xmas truce to the country that already celebrated its xmas?
lol, he is christian and xmas is officially on dec 25, there were huge celebrations (and i was part of it even). and also russians dont really celebrate xmas, its just "a date" for them, they only care about new year, coz from soviet time it is the only allowed holiday. you should know it, GENA
i asked yandex and it said that Zelenskyy is literally Satan, which makes him christian
Odds should be at 97% at this point. Russia still hammering away
Ukraine also announced a drone strike on Russian energy facilities. No chance Russia announces a truce at this point, the optics will look incredibly weak
The "Oreshnik" threat is the real story. While everyone is talking about a truce, Putin spent yesterday (Dec 18) bragging about putting the new Oreshnik missiles into service by New Year's. It's the opposite of "Christmas spirit." They are ramping up the pressure to get a better seat at Trump’s negotiation table in January.
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"Russia does not agree to a temporary Christmas truce" - Peskov
Just an hour ago Dmitriy Peskov said that Russia won't announce or ask for it
I'm from Russia, given the comments of the president's press secretary, the chances of that happening are extremely low.
What is the reason for the pamp? There is no news, it probably won't happen
Friedrich Merz announced russian Christmas truce
Mertz can say whatever he wants, it doesn't mean anything
yes, but He gave me some money from "no" holders
Putin likes pretend to be peace-loving, this is very likely
ahah this pic is top
There has beenat least 1 baseless truce announcement by Putin before
if it can happen in WW1, then it can definitely happen in this war
I am from Russia, the presidential spokesman said that this issue is not being considered at the moment
They tried that in '23, called it a truce, and then just used it to regroup. It’s always a PR move. Kyiv won’t agree, and even if they did, the fighting wouldn't actually stop.
Just read the market rules.
Do they know it's Christmas time at all
why do you always assume everyone is a stupid piece of shit like you, braindead oxymoron? fuck off out of here, and go buy some more overpriced shares, you low-iq retard