December 31$11K Vol.
June 30$283K Vol.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality. Once Russia captures Kupiansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Kupiansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kupiansk+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ngCjTi39GSjbzaC46 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Получается, что Пыня опять напиздел, что Купянск взяли.
Lost all my money in Russia captures, gonn
Thank you for your attention to this matter
vitalik hello
We need June 30 market!
done
According to Russia, Kupyansk was captured in December 2025. What about the map?
according to ruzzia they should have captured all of UKR in three days, maps are updating a little slow it seems
COPEIANSK
This has already happened, according to other sources.
By sources, do you mean fake Russian propaganda? According to their sources, they have already taken over half of Europe and Alaska. Better sell me some more “NO.”
Even pro-Russia sources are saying neither side has the manpower to establish control over the entire town.
where'd all the ruz fanbois go?
With only about 60 Russians left in the basements and the supply lines cut off, I don't see how they take the whole city by next month unless they literally level it with glide bombs first.
alot changes once the weather changes
The weather currently favors Russia.
fog wise or temperature wise, elaborate
[link removed]
fake russian propoganda.
That's fair. Still learning how this market works. Thx
it is not even russian russian propoganda
Unreal prices =)
Hahahaha
Price discovery on this is lagging behind the whale flow. Significant alpha if you track the top holders.
We need will Ukraine capture Kupiansk market.
4to s EBALOM RUSNYA?
idealyno chel)))
Chel s otrizatelnym profit eje chto govorit)
Vsosaly rashiki ebanie!
Zelensky there and taking selfie so i increased my holdings
Wrong direction bro, you bought yes.
lol that cracked me up
Having isw as a judicator is shameful and should at least be named in the title. Kupyansk was declared captured a month ago.
I agree. Everything should be resolved based on Vladimir Putin's statements.
so Putin's a better ground truth in your oppinion
Or maybe on the geolocated data instead? that shows Russians waving flags all over the city? Or should we just ignore both reality and the statements confirming said reality instead?
What geo were there in the western part of the city?
Can you show me even one video with fascist flags in the western part of the city?
[link removed] enjoy true info for once
fascists means russia
the real signal is in the flow not the comments, always has been
ISW wont be able to deny reality for much longer..
How do you know reality?
Putin told you that Kyiv is in 3 days, and you still think that Russian troops are near Kiev.
Kupiansk is under Russian control.. and ALL of the Ukrainian counter attacks have been a complete disaster for them. Russia is quietly stacking infantry and equipment in the city itself to prepare for a push further south and west.
Russia has been driven out of half of Kupiansk, Ukraine has cut off supply routes.
There is 0 Ukrainian pressence in Kupiansk.. Its just suicidal counterattacks that delay the inevitable.
Do you even believe what you say? They're outnumbered 1 to 11, which is a conservative approach and they're taking land back?
What's up with the mug, shorty??
They are getting information with a huge delay, wait a week until russian tg channels finally acknowledge reality
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1372: Situation on northeastern front: Ukrainian army's continuous attacks west of Kupiansk led to some successes around the locality of Kindrashivka. Ukrainian forces have now entered the first houses to the south and are attempting to drive Russian army out of the area by cutting off its supply lines.
Yeah, other sources say that kupyansk is long gone despite efforts to re-take it from the south but hopelessly, while the russian are already working on encircling Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi to the southeast, and some reports ay they're claiming the train station there
WOW so you actually made it your PURPOSE IN LIFE to always take opposite view of mine and start argument
chill i have no idea who you are
Russians lie. Always.
Both sides lie. Prob nov 30 won't be updated to red, but dec 31 is definitely a real possibility
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