This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between E50 and вул. Яблунева located in Novopavlivka by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location in Novopavlivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka+intersection+zoom.png Novopavlivka location in region: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka+zoom.jpeg Novopavlivka location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/G9dEeKpAi1xB6cMz5 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
RuAF soldier hoists their unit battle flag in Novoukrainka. 48.228089,37.200174 [link removed]
it's the one in pokrovsk next to the e50 highway
lol some actually confused the Novopavlivka near Pokrovsk for the Novopavlivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Russian are still a few miles away from it but they will probably capture in early September
On the map the indicated point is already painted as captured!
That’s the wrong Novopavlivka, it’s the one in the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
[link removed].[link removed]
I believe you are mistaking yellow and red. Yellow = Claimed by the russians, Red = Assessed Control
ez money
Russian Defense Ministry: Units of the Center group of forces actively liberated the settlement of Novoukrainka, Donetsk People's Republic. Ukrainian is the nearest village to Novopavlovka on the Pokrovsky sector of the front. According to some military commanders, the battles for Novopavlovka are already underway and are nearing the liberation of the village
Little bro, what u need to understand is: whatever happens in real life is one thing, but what matters is if the ukrainians idiots from ISW will update the map in time. Yunakivka has been in russian hands for weeks now, and the website hasn't changed the status at all yet
Agree with @FilterlessCroissant . The way the question resolves is not good for Yes holders. Russia may control the settlement but if the knuckleheads at ISW don't update the map, it means it doesn't count.
Free money?
On January 1, 2025, they were standing in approximately the same place, on this section of the front, lol
Wrong Novopavlivka
that means nothing, the situation has obviously changed. it used to be that the tip of the spear was at the gates of pokrovsk, now its almost enveloped. just saying that they are at the same spot as January is like a propaganda statement. coming from a guy who has as many no shares as you.
Nothing has changed in the area of this village, the chances are ridiculous
Not today and she can stay in this position for 3 months, look at Yunakivka
Russians are in Shakhtyarsky. Only a matter of time before geolocations from Novopavlivka are released. Same situation happened last week with Novoekonomichne. The entire area is caught in a pincer. The areas at the bottom of the "bag" will cave in first.
Not the one in Dnipro? xD
yeah that's the first one i found too HAHAHAHAHA
lol