This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between E50 and вул. Яблунева located in Novopavlivka by September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location in Novopavlivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka+intersection+zoom.png Novopavlivka location in region: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka+zoom.jpeg Novopavlivka location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/novopavlivka.png Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/G9dEeKpAi1xB6cMz5 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Omg i beted on another novopavlovka
Not into this marker, can someone explain why it went up then Down then up again
We had geolocated footage. ISW updated and marked it as a claimed Russian advance. This led the stupid people to believe they would never mark it as geolocated.
I’m a stupid person too. I had a sell order at 93 cents for some reason and sold 2k of my octobers
Why did no go to 0 if there wasnt a resolve?
There’s a monkey at the controls, don’t worry.
-8k, good dumbass
I've yet to fully grasp how fucking retarded the ISW map is. The day of the geolocated footage they dismiss it and don't even paint the intersection red, and then one day later without any new info they decide to paint the whole thing red. Whaterver I'm not complaining
Pokrovsk is next
Agreed
live by the sword die by the sword. I got cooked on that retarded geolocation in Povkrosk when they marked the church for literally no reason at all.
Yeah I was on the right side of that trade thankfully, but it was really weird. They had never painted red following DRG activity until that day.
Ahahahahaah, it was funny
Do you spend the whole day refreshing the ISW map or what. Am I the only one here with an actual job during the day lmao
He has a boyfriend who works there.
lmao
Thanks to everyone who panicked and sold me this so cheap.
LOL
The Russians retreated from the village a week ago. The video is over a week old. Good luck, YES clowns.
Yeah it's over NO wins
I also read in three sources today that the Russians have already withdrawn from the village (2 Russian sources and 1 Ukrainian). I don’t know how true this is. That’s why I even sold my YES by October.
ok I admit that whole thing was really funny, you almost got me
That’s expected. ISW is a pro-Ukrainian source. Only yellow. They didn’t even mark the necessary area in yellow.
Hi can someone please tip me just a dollar I would really appreciate it
no
:(
And if we are speaking about video, this video was posted by the same Ukrainian that posted video from Troyanda (southern part of Pokrovsk) 4 days ago, on the next day ISW updated geo red
In reality, the situation is complicated. ISW might mark it as an advance from the south rather than from the west. 50/50. Let’s wait.
true i have seen some mappers mark it from south and actually not marking that section red which needs to be painted red
Oh, you changed your mind?) Agreed about that
I had doubts from the very beginning. Today I read several sources and now I’m not sure from which side ISW will paint it.
ISW updates such late news on the next day, so we shall wait
Nice to see leCommissaire with his twin account henri55564 is pumping and dumping here
it's not my account. And how can I pump? Check who was first yesterday
i am not his twin account lol idk why would you think so
Body, every news you pump wait a bit then dump, every market I see you
It’s not my fault that the markets are full of idiots who break them, and I have to sell and look for better positions.
its over according to analysts "Enemy small groups have also been detected in Novopavlivka - the gray zone has been expanded. More precise front-line positions are being clarified" looks like it wont get painted red at all [link removed]
ISW wrote on X updates for 20th September and no Novopavlivka, yep its over NO wins
100%
Come on, guys! No ISW update. NO is winning. Hurry up and buy NO while it’s cheap.