This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between T-05-15 and Shakhtarskoi Slavy vulytsia located in Rodyns'ke by August 20, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Rodyns'ke: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection.png Rodyns'ke location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oFYUB5RUaKXaPvVT9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Haha, well unless Russia sends a nuke in and then troops and ISW confirms assessed control within a day and updates map, then no chance lol.
The Russian Armed Forces are conducting an assault on the north-eastern and eastern outskirts of Rodinskoye: [link removed]
I am all for quick changes in the battlefield, but I believe nothing will happen over the weekend, and with only 3 days left after, idk if they will try to encircle or go somewhere else
Yeah, I’m sure they’ve all clocked out and gone home for the weekend...
The settlement of Krasny Liman, located next to the settlement of Rodinskoye, came under the full control of the Russian Armed Forces. [link removed]
The map shows the Russian position at 350 mt (0.2 miles) from the objective pinged on the map (the gas station west of the town). The ping was set when the Russians were on the east of the town but now they encircled it. The objective is set at an intersection near a gas station, no fortification there , no urban combat needed. they don't have to conquer the center of Rodynske. Easy resolution