Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?

ok garmin video speichern

gg

Do not worry anymore, i have been deployed on this front to. The ghost of Dorozhnje will not let them pass. My paycheck depend on it. Roger that

good luck brother

i love that this site is so dominated by NAFO bc it means i get to make a ton of money while sitting on my ass playing war thunder.

So true. They should make a poll about “crimean beach party”

leCommissair first says that Russians have only 50m left and Y is an easy bet. half an hour later he deletes the comment and sells Y shares. an hour later he comes back and buys N shares. what kind of a schizo is this?

yeah I'm really not sure. He replies to his own comments, it's quite funny

he is greeding out, banking on slow map update as panic sell comes and reverses it again

The question is not really will Rusiia capture Udachne, but will the boomers at ISW figure out how to update their map in time? Past events say NO.

have you looked at the last update to the map?

every month the same thing, and then it's fun how russian losers cry and lose money

Check the map you moron

some people did not learn what happened in Yablunivka and will scream that Poly is rigged

You are french. That is worse than any crime in the geneva convention.

il pleut, il mouille, suce mes couilles

cool scribbles frenchtard

marine ci marine ca.... marine moi ses couilles dans ta bouche

According to Russian sources they have captured up to the train line - 50m away

im amazed this is at 64%. they have less than a kilometer to go in 3 weeks. freest money of my life.

kinda. Ruski's have to take it AND isw has to paint the map.

im not worried about that. look at pokrovsk. they show more russian control than any other map.

we will see. I agree that I think this is likely but I also wouldn't say that it is certain. currently they have focused a large part of their forces north of Pokrovsk to break the Ukrainian defences.

whats happening north of pokrovsk will decide the fate of this entire sector, udachne included. if the secondary ukranian defensive lines behind pokrovsk are penetrated and, rodysnke, doborillia are taken, the mynorad, pokrovsk pocket will close and the russians will press that momentum into even deeper advances. that is how udachne will likely be taken. this will all happen quicker than anyone thinks. so the russian focus in the north only makes udachnes capture by the deadline more likely, not less.

I see your point - nobody has a crystal ball unfortunately, so no one knows if this breach may be repelled (Highly unlikely imo). It's also possible that they start to march in the direction of Kupiansk instead. Time will tell

i agree its not certain, nothing is, but i believe its likely closer to an 85-90% chance.

Holy cow the Ruskies actually advanced 12km in North of Pokrovsk yesterday...did they break the line? If Dobropillia gets flanked Pokrovsk might have to be evacuated entirely. Russia is fraudulent but this is not looking good for Ukraine's Pokrovsk's situation...any thoughts anyone?

Yeah it appears that they captured a section and kept going all day and night. Supposedly there was a build up of troops and they overwhelmed the Ukrainian positions. I'm aware that opsec is pretty tight round those parts so geoloc video may be harder to come by. I think it plays into the whole Putin wanting the 4 regions though for a ceasefire. He doesn't hold all of them, but aims to by Friday - feeding his troops meth

I think we are at a turning point in the war. It appears that Ukraine is finding it more and more difficult to hold on. The lack of support from the west and their man power is dwindling.

yeah at this point the manpower issue is Ukraine's biggest problem...just not enough guys to sustain such high casualty rates across such a massive front...Russia pushes in one sector, Ukraine has to move more men to defend, then Russia pushes in the sector they pulled guys from and the cycle repeated. but this is a 12km push in one day, right smack in the middle of the line. If Ukraine doesn't divert resources immediately to this then Ruskies gonna keep pushing and crash the whole line around Pokrovsk

I agree. As history has taught us, Russia will never have a man power shortage and will send women and children to the front before they admit defeat. Comparatively, Ukraine cannot sustain the same loss of life as Russia - and at somepoint it will give - which is what I think we are seeing now. Potentially a true turning point in the War, before they would gain a few Km in 6 months and now they have started to find gaps

less than 300m away

Why a spike today ?

illiquid

dude they're less than 500m away from the intersection, and they've already entered and secured a good portion of the town...still 25 days, get yes while you can

They're near that town since end of June and didn't captured it.

yes but in past 48 hours they advanced 1.5km closer to the intersection...all it'll take is one more assault and Ukraine is having to rotate more guys to prevent Pokrovsk from being flank

Any news?

Look at the market in Yunakovka, you can stay in the yellow zone for months until ISW repaints. Considering this, it's 50/50 here. Although if you look at previous similar markets, NO has a better chance.

this is an easy no

of course sir